Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[PPCLI Guy]

hes a commentator, i dont know if that means he has a notable role or not

He is the Director of Research at the Economic Longwave Research institute. He is singularly focused on this single economic theory but I can find no records of his educational background.

From the website:

My personal story discovering Nikolai Kondratieff, Economic LongWave theory​

I have a personal tale about my serendipitous discovery of the Kondratieff cycle, known as The Economic Long Wave theory. Back in 1989, I made a fateful decision to purchase a home during its peak, oblivious to the impending downturn. As fate would have it, this led to significant losses on my part. However, this setback ignited a newfound passion within me, propelling me into the world of investment. Determined to learn from my past mistakes, I dedicated myself to crafting one of the world’s most exceptional and top forecast models in the world.

What is that you say, and is it considered mainstream economic theory?

No, long wave economics (often referred to as Kondratiev waves or K-waves) is not considered mainstream. It is relegated to a branch of the field known as "heterodox economics", meaning it does not conform to the orthodox, widely accepted theories taught in most universities. [1, 2]
The concept, which posits that capitalist economies experience recurring 40- to 60-year cycles of boom and bust driven by technological innovation, is often met with deep skepticism by contemporary academic economists. Mainstream macroeconomics rejects the theory for several reasons: [1, 2, 3, 4]

• Lack of Empirical Evidence: Many economists argue that statistical data does not show clean, regular 50-year cycles. They point to apophenia—the human tendency to recognize patterns in random data. [1, 2, 3]
• No Consensus on Causes: Even among economists who study K-waves, there is no agreement on what causes them or exactly when they start and end. [1]
• Focus on the Short Term: Mainstream economists prefer to focus on shorter, evidence-based business cycles (typically 5 to 10 years) and microeconomic fundamentals. [1, 2, 3]

So he is offering his opinion on a potential outcome for Canada if the Longwave theory is actually right. Like all opinions it deserves to be considered on its merits.

 

[suffolkowner]

He has been featured on many, many news broadcast over the news, testified at parliamentary committees, advised on farm and food production boards, he has a LONG reputation.

Whether you know of him or not, is completely irrelevant.

oh i know of him and his reputation

 

[ArmyRick]

oh i know of him and his reputation

So let me ask you a serious question.

Are you the type of person (rather common in Canada) that considers or disregards what he hears/learns depending on whether it supports his own personal view point?

When Sylvain speaks about Canada's food systems, serious people listen and weigh out what he says.

 

[Altair]

One of the biggest fallacies of the "Man Made Climate Change doom and woe for thee" movement.

Mods, I am begging you, please re-open the climate change thread and move this stuff here and we can discuss it, otherwise delete it from here as it goes way beyond the current parliament. Please.

or we can respect that conversations on climate change are a soup sandwich, everyone puts their fingers in their ears, nobody changes their minds or opinions and we should respect the mods decision to not talk about it.

Steven Guilbeault left parliament. Cool. We should leave it there.

 

[ArmyRick]

nobody changes their minds

I did. At least on man-made climate change theory (or mankind, ney people kind in Justin's words being almost entirely responsible).

I was a "ohh shit, oil and gas is destroying the planet type" until about 2018-2019, when a few people I respect, gave me a pause for thought.

Doing my own research and digging is why I have changed my views and opinions.

 

[Altair]

I did. At least on man-made climate change theory (or mankind, ney people kind in Justin's words being almost entirely responsible).

I was a "ohh shit, oil and gas is destroying the planet type" until about 2018-2019, when a few people I respect, gave me a pause for thought.

Doing my own research and digging is why I have changed my views and opinions.

Cool.

Again, the mods closed the thread, it was a headache to moderate, instead of forcing their hand we should respect their decision.

I made a thread about the American threat to Canada and it was shut down temporarily but you dont see me hijacking this thread or others to circumvent it.

 

[suffolkowner]

So let me ask you a serious question.

Are you the type of person (rather common in Canada) that considers or disregards what he hears/learns depending on whether it supports his own personal view point?

When Sylvain speaks about Canada's food systems, serious people listen and weigh out what he says.

Im unconvinced that serious people listen to what Charlebois says having followed the discourse between him and leach and tombe and levesque and others.

 

[ArmyRick]

Cool.

Again, the mods closed the thread, it was a headache to moderate, instead of forcing their hand we should respect their decision.

I made a thread about the American threat to Canada and it was shut down temporarily but you dont see me hijacking this thread or others to circumvent it.

Yet, here we are discussing Climate change theories. Hoarding space and going way deeper into rabbit holes about climate change, the further down the hole, the less we discuss this current parliament and its decisions. I believe your thread is covered by President Trump threads.

 

[ArmyRick]

Im unconvinced that serious people listen to what Charlebois says having followed the discourse between him and leach and tombe and levesque and others.

Fair enough. We can agree to disagree on Charlebois

 

[Altair]

Yet, here we are discussing Climate change theories. Hoarding space and going way deeper into rabbit holes about climate change, the further down the hole, the less we discuss this current parliament and its decisions. I believe your thread is covered by President Trump threads.

Yes, imagine us all putting on our big people clothes and using some discipline to actually stop derailing the thread.

Unpossible.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Yes, imagine us all putting on our big people clothes and using some discipline to actually stop derailing the thread.

Say less, fam.

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent over $722 million on health care for asylum seekers in the last fiscal year as refugee backlogs and failed clamed drove costs.

nationalpost.com

Parliamentary Budget Office report finds 74,000 'failed claimants' still receiving full benefits of temporary federal healthcare program, a third of who wanted on removal orders

Wild to think we've paying benefits for 25,000 people who are avoiding deportation.

 

[Altair]

Say less, fam.

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent over $722 million on health care for asylum seekers in the last fiscal year as refugee backlogs and failed clamed drove costs.

nationalpost.com

Wild to think we've paying benefits for 25,000 people who are avoiding deportation.

It is wild, although i can see why the gov would want to avoid ICE like scenes of detaining people going to get medical care.

Probably should cut them off though.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Say less, fam.

Yup

Wild to think we've paying benefits for 25,000 people who are avoiding deportation. awaiting due process in accordance with our laws

In this case, I hate the game, not the players.

 

[Maxman1]

Yup

In this case, I hate the game, not the players.

I think you missed this part:
wanted on removal orders

 

[Jarnhamar]

It is wild, although i can see why the gov would want to avoid ICE like scenes of detaining people going to get medical care.

Probably should cut them off though.

That's a great place to nab them though.
They're not only in the country illegally, they're running from CBSA.

 

[Altair]

That's a great place to nab them though.
They're not only in the country illegally, they're running from CBSA.

I dont think any canadian politician wants a Alan Kurdi situation on home soil outside a hospital.

 

[YZT580]

Say less, fam.

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent $722M on health care for asylum seekers in 2024-25: PBO

Canada spent over $722 million on health care for asylum seekers in the last fiscal year as refugee backlogs and failed clamed drove costs.

nationalpost.com

Wild to think we've paying benefits for 25,000 people who are avoiding deportation.

be really nice to see a few charters lined up at Pearson destination not Canada "we are going home kids"

 

[Jarnhamar]

I dont think any canadian politician wants a Alan Kurdi situation on home soil outside a hospital.

Maybe not, but we already have Yohanna David Chol situations on home soil.

 

[Altair]

Maybe not, but we already have Yohanna David Chol situations on home soil.

Considering i had to google who the hell that is compared to the widespread knowledge of Alan Kurdi i think that may prove my point.

 

[Jarnhamar]

Considering i had to google who the hell that is compared to the widespread knowledge of Alan Kurdi i think that may prove my point.

That doesn't prove your point though. It proves one case became an international media symbol while the other didn't. Public awareness and public safety aren't the same thing.

We can't prevent 3 year olds from drowning in the Ageaen sea; we can mitigate the amount of Canadians victimized by people in the country illegally.