Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[Brad Sallows]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

Not yet. A certain amount of obfuscation is always to be expected. I've yet to be surprised, even by governments run by people I vastly preferred over alternatives.

 

[Altair]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

We were just used to minority governments for a long time at the federal level.

But this has been happening at the provincial level the entire time, and people didn't seem to care.

 

[Halifax Tar]

This increasingly evasive approach to transparency is quite worrying

Doesn't seem to affect their polling...

 

[daftandbarmy]

Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.

Hamlet (1.4), Marcellus to Horatio

Follow the Money: I Break Down Carney, the "Condo King," and the Fundraiser Behind the Bailout With Brian Lilley​

On the condo bailout, Lilley asked me to explain the connections behind Vancouver marketer Bob Rennie, the man dubbed the industry’s “condo king.” I traced the story back to my own history covering Vancouver city hall for the Province, and to the city’s 2010 Olympic Village crisis, when a developer went under and the city — under then-mayor Gregor Robertson, now Carney’s federal housing minister — was left backstopping roughly $700 million in high-end condos. Robertson’s council, I said, brought in Rennie to market those units; Rennie was also “a major backer of Gregor Robertson at the city hall” and a fundraiser for the provincial Liberal government of Christy Clark. My reporting for the Province in 2014 documented a $25,000-a-plate fundraiser Rennie organized for Robertson’s Vision Vancouver.

Follow the Money: I Break Down Carney, the "Condo King," and the Fundraiser Behind the Bailout With Brian Lilley

OTTAWA – I joined Canadian columnist Brian Lilley this week to walk through three developing Bureau investigations — the Carney government’s Vancouver condo bailout, a record fentanyl-precursor seizure in British Columbia, and a corruption case emerging from Toronto’s Project South investigation.

www.thebureau.news

 

[Halifax Tar]

Something is rotten in the state of Denmark.

This whole thing stinks!

 

[MilEME09]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

 

[HavokFour]

A long but incredibly fascinating read, some of the behind the scenes details included within are wild.

Part 1

‘There Is No Going Back’: The Inside Story of Europe’s Rupture With America​

Archive

Part 2

The Canadian Who Steered Europe Away From the U.S.​

Archive

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

The closing sentence is quite pointed:

Poilievre needs to decide whether he wants to be smug and right, in his own mind, or whether he wants to win elections. Right now, it’s not clear that he wants to win elections.

That could have been written about Trudeau.....

 

[ArmyRick]

Brian Lilly turning on Pierre? That can't be a good sign

LILLEY: Does Pierre Poilievre actually want to be prime minister?

While Poilievre blasts fellow Conservatives, the Liberals are benefiting from a divided opposition. Read on.

torontosun.com

He has poked at Pierre many times. He doesn't really come out and endorse Pierre either.

Its actually getting tiiring with people trying to say "Pierre's base in collapsing..." Its not. Its not growing either, which is the problem.

Carney is still enjoying something of a honeymoon, but he has lost the "green" liberals for the most part. Trudeau didn't have one event that tripped him up but rather a thousand knife cuts.
Carney has probably been winning over flexible centrist support with pipelines, defence procurement, etc. So at this time, Carney has traded Far left greenies for some more economic minded centrist.

There is a good chance Carney rides it out until 2029 but what is the Liberal party will change. And I bet the NDP does nothing and actually grows. The far left want a home.

 

[Czech_pivo]

He has poked at Pierre many times. He doesn't really come out and endorse Pierre either.

Its actually getting tiiring with people trying to say "Pierre's base in collapsing..." Its not. Its not growing either, which is the problem.

Carney is still enjoying something of a honeymoon, but he has lost the "green" liberals for the most part. Trudeau didn't have one event that tripped him up but rather a thousand knife cuts.
Carney has probably been winning over flexible centrist support with pipelines, defence procurement, etc. So at this time, Carney has traded Far left greenies for some more economic minded centrist.

There is a good chance Carney rides it out until 2029 but what is the Liberal party will change. And I bet the NDP does nothing and actually grows. The far left want a home.

The question is - does Carney start to eat any of PP's lunch in Alberta and Saskatchewan if shovels go into the ground for the new pipelines (oil and nat gas), new SMR's using uranium and more potash being developed/shipped. That's the real question.

An expanded naval footprint on the EC and the WC, along with a larger CAF presence in NB, will lock up the Maritimes for the Libs. Throw in Davie building CDC's and some sort of SAAB or GCAP footprint in QC and that might hold QC for them. The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

 

[ArmyRick]

does Carney start to eat any of PP's lunch in Alberta and Saskatchewan

Opinion not fact here. Won't happen I believe. I have a ton of ranching and farmer freinds in those two provinces. They basically explained to me, at this time, if Pierre pisses off his base and support in the prairies, they are most likely to not vote period. there is a strong disdain for Liberals. Cue the odd prairie person to tell me how wrong I am.

 

[ArmyRick]

The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario GTA and other heavy urban areas. Rural Ontario still strongly conservative.

 

[MilEME09]

An expanded naval footprint on the EC and the WC, along with a larger CAF presence in NB, will lock up the Maritimes for the Libs. Throw in Davie building CDC's and some sort of SAAB or GCAP footprint in QC and that might hold QC for them. The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

Word is LUV is being limited to canadian suppliers, so GM vs Rochel, ontario wins.

 

[ArmyRick]

he'll be golden.

Depends. There are many Liberals who DO NOT WANT mining, oil and gas, pipelines, defence spending, etc EVER. How mahy are there? What affect will they have.

Thinking the cat is in the bag is what gets Conservatives in trouble. It can happen in an instant for Carney, who is doing ok as a PM (Could be better though in my opinion)

 

[daftandbarmy]

Depends. There are many Liberals who DO NOT WANT mining, oil and gas, pipelines, defence spending, etc EVER. How mahy are there? What affect will they have.

Thinking the cat is in the bag is what gets Conservatives in trouble. It can happen in an instant for Carney, who is doing ok as a PM (Could be better though in my opinion)

Carney's transformation momentum might be hard for some of the more 'Loonie Leftie' Liberals, like Guilbeault, to keep up with.

We might be seeing the fastest ever 'pivot' of any sitting government's policy, in the shortest period of time, and some of the incumbents might not be able to keep up, viz:

How Mark Carney is Realigning Canada’s Political System​

On the day last May when Mark Carney and his newly elected cabinet were sworn in, the Prime Minister promised, “Our government will deliver its mandate for change with urgency and determination. We’ve been elected to do a job. We intend to do it quickly and forcefully.”

These policy changes are all signs of a government intent on fundamentally transforming Canada. This is a government in a hurry — indeed, moving “quickly and forcefully” — and a Prime Minister who is quite prepared to break things along the way, including perhaps even his own party.

How Mark Carney is Realigning Canada’s Political System - Policy Magazine

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney/PMO X

www.policymagazine.ca

 

[Good2Golf]

The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

Carney is closer to being a PC of pre-CPC days than he is a hard Red Grit. Time will tell where Ontario heads, but Carney has some *room to play closer or farther from Ford as need be to fine tune to positives, especially from the GTA.

 

[brihard]

Carney is closer to being a PC of pre-CPC days than he is a hard Red Grit. Time will tell where Ontario heads, but Carney has some to play closer or farther from Ford as need be to fine tune to positives, especially from the GTA.

He ain’t a Trudeau style Liberal, that’s for sure, and any continued attempts to try to tie him to Trudeau will just look increasingly silly and desperate.

 

[HavokFour]

Word is LUV is being limited to canadian suppliers, so GM vs Rochel, ontario wins.

Just announced today.

Post in thread 'Logistic Vehicle Modernization Project - Replacing everything from LUVW to SHLVW'

8 Jul 2026

The old 6 way competition, 4 Canadian and 2 American companies.

Canadian: Armatec Survivability Group, GM Defense Canada, Roshel, Terradyne Armoured Vehicles

American: AM General, Oshkosh Defence

Ottawa sidelines foreign firms in $4.9B army vehicle competition​

Whittled down to 2 Canadian.

Prime Minister Carney secures new defence partnerships at the 2026 NATO Summit

Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, concluded his participation at the 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, Türkiye.

www.pm.gc.ca

• HavokFour

• 

 

[Czech_pivo]

Just announced today.

Post in thread 'Logistic Vehicle Modernization Project - Replacing everything from LUVW to SHLVW'

8 Jul 2026

The old 6 way competition, 4 Canadian and 2 American companies.

Canadian: Armatec Survivability Group, GM Defense Canada, Roshel, Terradyne Armoured Vehicles

American: AM General, Oshkosh Defence

Ottawa sidelines foreign firms in $4.9B army vehicle competition​

Whittled down to 2 Canadian.

Prime Minister Carney secures new defence partnerships at the 2026 NATO Summit

Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, concluded his participation at the 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, Türkiye.

www.pm.gc.ca

• HavokFour

• 

That's a lot of coin for Ontario if an Ontario based firm wins the contract.

 

[YZT580]

Doubtful.

Go tell them to go work two jobs. Or cut grass.

Right?

People are aware that you need to start at the bottom and do shit jobs to get up the corporate ladder. But many cannot even get a foot in the door.

Nobody is asking to start at the top. People are asking to start. And once they start, they are asking to make enough to be able to save for things like a house, being financially secure enough to start a family and the like.

Armyrick said it beautifully. Nobody should need to work 70 hours a week to cover the bare essentials.

Some kids cannot even get these jobs.

Prove this utter bullshit why don't you?

The question is - does Carney start to eat any of PP's lunch in Alberta and Saskatchewan if shovels go into the ground for the new pipelines (oil and nat gas), new SMR's using uranium and more potash being developed/shipped. That's the real question.

An expanded naval footprint on the EC and the WC, along with a larger CAF presence in NB, will lock up the Maritimes for the Libs. Throw in Davie building CDC's and some sort of SAAB or GCAP footprint in QC and that might hold QC for them. The wild card will be Ontario - what can Carney do to the hold the line in Ontario.........keep the auto sector 'as is' and throw in some SMR's, mining and expanded manufacturing for the CAF and he'll be golden.

perhaps the CDC's to Ontario Shipyards. Whilst Toronto may not be impressed, Hamilton, Thunder Bay and the St. Catharines areas would be. PLus the steel mills. There are a lot of Ontario ridings that he could put a lock on by re-booting the industrial base here and the 3 companies involved in building do not really have the wherewithal to tackle another line ASAP. It is time that is the problem.