The Western world appears to be desperately short of political leaders willing to take tough decisions these days, with Barack Obama standing at the head of the line and several European leaders cowering behind him. Perhaps Stephen Harper, secure in his majority mandate, could upstage these wafflers by doing something unpopular, but useful, to free up some money for the Canadian Forces.
What should be done would not go over well in places that are home to outdated or irrelevant military infrastructure. Nevertheless, the hard truth is that the government could save a big chunk of money dumping a pile of it. There are several military facilities across the country that should be closed, either because they're outdated or never made sense in the first place.
That money should then be reinvested in the Canadian Forces to provide our soldiers with the equipment and personnel they need to protect Canadians. Knowledgeable people inside the military will tell you that the government has never projected enough funding to implement its "Canada First" military strategy. With the current austerity pinch underway, that strategy is just going to keep unravelling. Every now and then the government announces bold new military expenditures only to quietly back down later.
When the outspoken Gordon O'Connor was this government's defence minister, he nailed it on the head: "We have too much infrastructure. We have too many buildings, too many everything. However, until I see a detailed plan on where the too many is against what our policy is and what our intentions are, we cannot start making adjustments. Down the line, there will be adjustments to infrastructure."
Five years later, Canadians are still waiting for these ad-justments. Not only have they not been forthcoming, there is actually a government edict in place that no military personnel may comment on infrastructure. The military owns in excess of $20-billion worth of realty assets across this country, and sources assure me that as much as 30% of it is redundant.
Stephen Harper should take advantage of a moment in Canada's political history that isn't likely to come along again for some time: a majority government, with at least four more years in power guaranteed. If the Prime Minister moved quickly, he could put a plan in place that would rationalize Canada's military infrastructure without paying an enormous price at the ballot box.
Harper doesn't even have to finger the infrastructure that should go - in fact, he shouldn't. He should instruct his military leaders to do an assessment of what infrastructure is still needed, and what can be eliminated in the interests of efficiency and effectiveness. Once that report was in - and it would be a controversial one no matter what bases and installations were selected for closure - the government should enact it, on the military's advice.
The Prime Minister should make it clear to all Canadians that this is an arm's-length operation - no interference from the Cabinet or other members of Parliament. The government would simply respond to the military's own analysis of its needs. If he acts quickly, he and his Cabinet would have more than three years to provide economic stimulation if needed to soften the blow where military facilities have been shuttered. Ideally, looking after the military would always come before looking after Conservative electoral fortunes, but it would be naive to deny that closing local bases are never popular with voters. To put it bluntly, if they did it soon enough before the next election, the Tories could spend their remaining time in office trying to find ways to win back those votes.
The good thing about this kind of initiative is that it wouldn't be a one-off saving for the military, like flying fewer patrols or keeping ships in harbour for a given amount of time to save on fuel. This exercise would save the military money, initially through the sales of assets and then, in perpetuity, through savings on upkeep.
Am I confident that Cabinet ministers could keep their hands off the formulation of the redundancy list? Not very - Tony Clement may even want to put a naval base in Muskoka to protect water skiers and escort kayakers. Am I confident that Stephen Harper would designate the money saved to making essential military expenditures that aren't being made during this time of fiscal restraint? Not really. He will be tempted to throw any savings into general revenue as he attempts to co-opt the Paul Martin strategy for deficit reduction.
Do I even believe that this Prime Minister is one step up on all those other international leaders who can't seem to make the tough calls?
I honestly don't know. But I'd love to find out.