• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

Iran Super Thread- Merged

And I got dumped on earlier for calling out all the worst case scenarios on this and how the US didn’t plan for any of them.

A week ago there were the usual suspects on here saying that we were being biased and not giving these guys the benefit of doubt.

To me, if you're going to plan a war with Iran and don't plan for a fight to control the Strait, and don't plan to protect major commercial centres (like Doha and Dubai) and critical assets in the region, it's rank incompetence, and I don't think they deserve the benefit of doubt. And if they did plan? Why were the assets they needed not in place?
 
You know, like a treat.


$150 oil. Totally a treat.

Oil last peaked in July 2008 at $147/bbl. Adjusted for inflation that is $222 today. So we have a ways to go before creating another generational crisis that will take a decade to recover from.

And before that, oil peaked at $11.65 in January 1974 during the '73 oil crisis. Adjusted for inflation that is $76.89. So we're well past that level.
 
Fully agree but to not have a single vessel ready to sail? Someone should be laying their head on a block for that one up to and including the minister.
And they are a maritime nation, at that...

A maritime nation that doesn't have a single operational attack submarine available & only a single missile sub out as there as their strategic deterrent, and no surface ships available to sail either.

A few years ago they were also a maritime nation that didn't have a maritime patrol aircraft. (Allied planes & crews provided their maritime patrol capability for a while, including Canada)



They made a point of sailing their shiny new carrier all over Asia recently, as part of a task group demonstrating that "Britain is back!"

And yet...here they are.

...

I realize that Israel & the US didn't include the UK in their planning, but there's enough going on in tne world at the moment to bring the RN's readiness level higher than 2 available River class...
 
And they are a maritime nation, at that...

A maritime nation that doesn't have a single operational attack submarine available & only a single missile sub out as there as their strategic deterrent, and no surface ships available to sail either.

A few years ago they were also a maritime nation that didn't have a maritime patrol aircraft. (Allied planes & crews provided their maritime patrol capability for a while, including Canada)



They made a point of sailing their shiny new carrier all over Asia recently, as part of a task group demonstrating that "Britain is back!"

And yet...here they are.

...

I realize that Israel & the US didn't include the UK in their planning, but there's enough going on in tne world at the moment to bring the RN's readiness level higher than 2 available River class...
And who should be held responsible?

The Government of the UK along with a few Admirals.
 
A week ago there were the usual suspects on here saying that we were being biased and not giving these guys the benefit of doubt.

To me, if you're going to plan a war with Iran and don't plan for a fight to control the Strait, and don't plan to protect major commercial centres (like Doha and Dubai) and critical assets in the region, it's rank incompetence, and I don't think they deserve the benefit of doubt. And if they did plan? Why were the assets they needed not in place?
100%
 
$150 oil. Totally a treat.

Oil last peaked in July 2008 at $147/bbl. Adjusted for inflation that is $222 today. So we have a ways to go before creating another generational crisis that will take a decade to recover from.

And before that, oil peaked at $11.65 in January 1974 during the '73 oil crisis. Adjusted for inflation that is $76.89. So we're well past that level.
And what
$150 oil. Totally a treat.

Oil last peaked in July 2008 at $147/bbl. Adjusted for inflation that is $222 today. So we have a ways to go before creating another generational crisis that will take a decade to recover from.

And before that, oil peaked at $11.65 in January 1974 during the '73 oil crisis. Adjusted for inflation that is $76.89. So we're well past that level.
And what happened in September of 2008?

Hint, the collapse of a number of large US financial institutions and the crash of the stock market….📉
 
Not yet enough to ensure rioting in the streets, but a nice development if entirely true ...
... but still seems like an uphill push for any dissidents according to IRN expat (backed by SAU?) media:
 
Granted it's The Guardian, but it appears the locals are not in the mood to revolt with ordinance falling on them and the infrastructure they will need to rebuild.


These people seem to be naive. Did they really think a regime so embedded would be toppled so easily and that war would not impact them at all? Bizarre.
 
A week ago there were the usual suspects on here saying that we were being biased and not giving these guys the benefit of doubt.

To me, if you're going to plan a war with Iran and don't plan for a fight to control the Strait, and don't plan to protect major commercial centres (like Doha and Dubai) and critical assets in the region, it's rank incompetence, and I don't think they deserve the benefit of doubt. And if they did plan? Why were the assets they needed not in place?

It's a reflection of the base who elected and supports them.

The claims by the administration at this point have become pretty ridiculous.

They literally claimed the regime was destroyed two weeks ago (One member here even claimed "deleted") and yet here we are with Ayatollah Khomeini replaced by.... Ayatollah Khomeini.

The SECDEF declared "No quarter" most likely only because he thought it sounded badass, and probably doesn't actually know what it means, similar to when he described missiles that strike their targets with interception as "squirters" and nobody bothered to correct him on any of this and they literally let him say these things with no clarification.

Unfortunately, they're in deep now. I wish the US military luck, but taking down the IR / IRGC under the Trump Administration, I can't see this being some walk in the park. They're probably in way deeper than the American people realize.

And let be clear, the IR / IRGC has been a major force of destabilization, their support for terror groups, Russias war on Ukraine - for me, it's enough. Screw those guys. But launching a surprise attack during negotiations like this, with guys in charge who lie to the American people and don't under basic military terms, it's a bit concerning.
 
Back
Top