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Iran Super Thread- Merged

One doesn’t need to invade Iran to weaken the regime.
This sort of thing is SOF and IC folks bread and butter. UW and targeted killings on a reverse COIN approach. Start on the fringes and grow a revolution.
If not now when?

3 months in.

Yeah, forget about it.
 
One doesn’t need to invade Iran to weaken the regime.
This sort of thing is SOF and IC folks bread and butter. UW and targeted killings on a reverse COIN approach. Start on the fringes and grow a revolution.

But that won't 'git 'er dun' before the next round of midterm elections...
 
If not now when?

3 months in.

Yeah, forget about it.

The Berlin Wall fell in 1989.... the USSR didn't formally cease to exist until late 1991.

Assad in Syria looked permanent until he suddenly wasn't.

Specific events can demonstrate that a regime is either not invincible or mortally wounded - such as the ass whooping Israel and USA inflicted on Iran.... Institutional collapse can come later like in the above two examples. It's during the later part where different pressures are also added.
 
If not now when?

3 months in.

Yeah, forget about it.
Oh believe me, I think this whole debacle stinks -- I am just offering a possible COA, one that is a lot more deniable, and one that ideally would not see a lot of Gulf targets hit by Iran.
 
Tell tale signs...

Trump-backed candidate in Iowa loses primary​


A candidate hoping to run for governor in the US state of Iowa has lost a closely watched primary contest, despite getting the backing of Donald Trump.

Randy Feenstra, who was seen by many as a frontrunner, conceded the race on Tuesday, having received a last-minute presidential endorsement ahead of the vote.

The three-term Iowa congressman, who was running for his party's nomination for November's governor contest, had also been a reliable Trump supporter.


 
Tell tale signs...

Trump-backed candidate in Iowa loses primary​


A candidate hoping to run for governor in the US state of Iowa has lost a closely watched primary contest, despite getting the backing of Donald Trump.

Randy Feenstra, who was seen by many as a frontrunner, conceded the race on Tuesday, having received a last-minute presidential endorsement ahead of the vote.

The three-term Iowa congressman, who was running for his party's nomination for November's governor contest, had also been a reliable Trump supporter.


At some point a 'blessing' becomes a 'kiss of death'.
 
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