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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

There is a prevailing opinion in the general public from people I have talked to that they believe Smith trying to ditch the RCMP is her trying to derail the investigation by kicking them out so they do not have jurisdiction in AB. She really isn't fooling anyone here, except maybe reporter Rick Bell.
 
Alberta wants the feds to butt out of provincial matters, but wants the feds to guarantee transportation access to all points of compass for a land locked province, and repeal laws that are clearly within the federal mandate like ocean tankers restrictions.


Hmmm.

Meanwhile, Oil prices are heading south. Without higher oil prices, Alberta will quickly adopt the posture of a failed state...

U.S. crude oil closes at lowest level since 2021 after OPEC+ agrees to production surge in June​


Oil prices in April posted the biggest monthly loss since 2021, as U.S. President Trump’s higher tariffs have raised fears of a recession that would slow demand for oil at the same time that OPEC+ is quickly increasing supply.

“Our key conviction remains that high spare capacity and high recession risk skew the risks to oil prices to the downside despite relatively tight spot fundamentals,” Daan Struyven, Goldman’s head of oil research, told clients in a report on Sunday. The investment bank has cut its forecast for U.S. crude prices this year by $3 to $56 per barrel.

 
Meanwhile, Oil prices are heading south. Without higher oil prices, Alberta will quickly adopt the posture of a failed state...

U.S. crude oil closes at lowest level since 2021 after OPEC+ agrees to production surge in June​


Oil prices in April posted the biggest monthly loss since 2021, as U.S. President Trump’s higher tariffs have raised fears of a recession that would slow demand for oil at the same time that OPEC+ is quickly increasing supply.

“Our key conviction remains that high spare capacity and high recession risk skew the risks to oil prices to the downside despite relatively tight spot fundamentals,” Daan Struyven, Goldman’s head of oil research, told clients in a report on Sunday. The investment bank has cut its forecast for U.S. crude prices this year by $3 to $56 per barrel.

Wonder how fast Smiths tune would change with Pink slips in the oil patch
 
It’s also one thing for someone to be offering positions and policies from a chair that’s not at the head of the table. Advisors offer advice within their portfolio, from where they sit.
Like when British politicians complained about Carney constantly making unsolicited advice on Brexit as governor of the Bank of England?
There are mutterings that the summer recess may be abbreviated or abandoned.
Good. They've had over six months off.
Are you familiar with the concept of a blind trust? You no longer know what assets are in there; the administrator is a fiduciary, and acts as such, but you have no control over those assets.
Are  you familiar with a blind trust? It's not an amnesia ray, you don't magically forget what you put into it. A beneficiary can leave general instructions on what they want, and it's absolutely unheard of for a trustee to unilaterally liquidate the holdings in a trust.
 
My biggest question is why? Their motivation is supposedly from Trudeau backing out of electoral reform, something Poilievre had no involvement in and never promised. And they didn't target any other leaders' ridings.
It's almost as if their electoral reform "protest" is a cover for trying to stymie Poilievre.
 
It's almost as if their electoral reform "protest" is a cover for trying to stymie Poilievre.
Not really. They’ve targeted other bi elections before. This happens to be the only upcoming bi election and it is high profile.
 
And they didn't target any other leaders' ridings.
If Carney’s riding had been announced earlier, they would have been there too.


It's almost as if their electoral reform "protest" is a cover for trying to stymie Poilievre.
Unless Poillevre voters can’t pick his name out of a list, this does nothing to stymie anyone. It is performative with most of those extra names getting a single digit number of votes.
 
And add the fact that these guys started their operations before PP was ever leader of the party.


It gets them attention.
 
If Carney’s riding had been announced earlier, they would have been there too.



Unless Poillevre voters can’t pick his name out of a list, this does nothing to stymie anyone. It is performative with most of those extra names getting a single digit number of votes.
Correct. They went after Freeland and PP.

Here is their announcement Jan 6th. Where Carney was planning to run was still unknown.

 
Like when British politicians complained about Carney constantly making unsolicited advice on Brexit as governor of the Bank of England?
Sort of. As governor he had a lot of deep insight into the economic impacts of Brexit and he was banging that drum. But he also wasn’t simply an advisor there to tell others what they thing to inform just their decisions. He was, separately and independently, the very senior executive running an institution that independently sets certain financial policy, and that has a role in balancing out the economic impacts of other things the government does. A better example might be Chrystia Freeland as Finance Minister, who did have a portfolio to run, and was responsible for advising the PM, but who was also expected to shut up in public and be loyal to his decisions once made. There were clearly some strong disagreements there, and we know how that played out.
 
Sort of. As governor he had a lot of deep insight into the economic impacts of Brexit and he was banging that drum. But he also wasn’t simply an advisor there to tell others what they thing to inform just their decisions. He was, separately and independently, the very senior executive running an institution that independently sets certain financial policy, and that has a role in balancing out the economic impacts of other things the government does. A better example might be Chrystia Freeland as Finance Minister, who did have a portfolio to run, and was responsible for advising the PM, but who was also expected to shut up in public and be loyal to his decisions once made. There were clearly some strong disagreements there, and we know how that played out.

A good run down by the BBC. Seems he can be a bit of a bully if he wants to...


Who is Mark Carney, Canada's new PM?​



 
I had a quick look at the Elections Canada site, and I think this longest ballot business violates the act. Specifically, the parts about collecting signatures, and having them witnessed. The longest ballot people say to just email them, and they'll do the rest, which IMO, would be at odds with the requirements.


I also think that any effort to change the voting system in Canada would fall under the 7/50 provision of the constitution, as the end result would likely effect the amount of representation each province gets. I could see in a proportional representation type system more seats being concentrated in ON and QC, and the rest of the country having a reduced number.
 
My biggest question is why? Their motivation is supposedly from Trudeau backing out of electoral reform, something Poilievre had no involvement in and never promised. And they didn't target any other leaders' ridings.
They targeted my Liberal MP in a by- election, which he won in a walk.
 
They targeted my Liberal MP in a by- election, which he won in a walk.
They've targeted a number of ridings since 2021 according to Wikipedia ....
  • 2021 Canadian federal election, Saint Boniface—Saint Vital: 21 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2022 Mississauga—Lakeshore federal by-election: 40 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election: 48 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2023 Kitchener Centre provincial by-election, 18 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election: 84 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2024 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun federal by-election: 91 candidate names on the ballot
  • 2025 Canadian federal election, Carleton: 91 candidate names on the ballot
No outcry that I heard/saw/read about those other ones, though .....
 
A good run down by the BBC. Seems he can be a bit of a bully if he wants to...


Who is Mark Carney, Canada's new PM?​




You don't get to his level without some alpha dog in you.

And why I expect he has a best before date as a politician. Because you also don't get to that level with out breaking some eggs and making some enemies.
 
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Interesting party breakdown in the “trusting the results” section …
View attachment 93128
Thr Conservative Party seems to be completely compromised with MAGA and Russian info ops. We have one of the most secure election systems on Earth and there is no evidence of fraud but yet, here we are with them being spoonfed to believe there was some sort of fraud, very MAGA indeed.
 
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