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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

Terrebonne just flipped to the LPC.

Now at 170 seats. There is a chance one more could flip. Meaning only one floor crosser needed…
I think the real takeaway from this is that Canadians want the LPC to govern like the CPC and the LPC campaigned, not like the LPC had done for the last 9 years.

If ridings are being flipped this late by recounts, it means that people want a more centrist and economy focused government.
 
Wow, Terrebonne flipped Bloc to LPC by a single vote in a judicial recount. I’ve never heard of a single vote margin before. I’m sure it’s happened, but rare.

Three other seats are undergoing judicial recount, two current considered LPC wins and one a CPC win. There’s no eventuality where recounts get them to a majority. However, they only need two floor crossers for a majority, three if they also want a speaker.

Depending on what the CPC do and how they handle their party leadership choice, I wouldn’t rule out two being pissed off enough to be enticed over.
 
I think the real takeaway from this is that Canadians want the LPC to govern like the CPC and the LPC campaigned, not like the LPC had done for the last 9 years.

If ridings are being flipped this late by recounts, it means that people want a more centrist and economy focused government.

But more importantly, and if anyone ever needs proof to point to.

Every vote matters.
 
I spoilt my ballot because at the time neither of the two main parties quite frankly deserved my vote.
It's still too early to see if either of them achieve the level of basic maturity that one should expect of the political leadership of a country.
Mind you Carney is a vast improvement over the last guy running the Liberals.
 
I spoilt my ballot because at the time neither of the two main parties quite frankly deserved my vote.
It's still too early to see if either of them achieve the level of basic maturity that one should expect of the political leadership of a country.
Mind you Carney is a vast improvement over the last guy running the Liberals.

You mean the 'face man' or the people pulling the strings? ;)

Dance Love GIF by ZDF Magazin Royale
 
I agree with much of what you are saying but it more of an urban-rural divide than an east-west one. In provinces the size of Ontario and Quebec (and perhaps BC due to the topography), 'rural' can be further divided into 'near rural' and remote. There is a lot of rural southern Ontario that is not reasonably proximate to the US for travel or cross-border shopping, and where a trip to a community that has a Costco, Walmart or, more crucially, a reasonably-sized health centre is at least an hour. Once you get north, the numbers get larger. When I was living on northwestern Ontario and wanted to visit family in Toronto, it was 20 hours and 2 time zones. when I transferred to around Lake Superior, it was only eight hours. Yippee.


View attachment 93238View attachment 93239
100% agree when as soon as you start passing North Bay/Petawawa areas in Ontario it becomes very rural and even more remote than much of the prairies. One of many reasons I'm no longer out that direction (although the fishing was great).
 
100% agree when as soon as you start passing North Bay/Petawawa areas in Ontario it becomes very rural and even more remote than much of the prairies. One of many reasons I'm no longer out that direction (although the fishing was great).
Yeah- at least in the prairies you’ll hit the centre of a township every six miles along the Trans Canada, so there will at least be something.
 
Up next: Terra Nova—The Peninsulas in NL!
Pre-count result via Elections Canada - 12 vote gap.
View attachment 93251
Ouch.
I think that Windsor-Tecumseh riding is after this one. It was Liberal and it flipped to the Reform, I mean Conservatives.
 
Ouch.
I think that Windsor-Tecumseh riding is after this one. It was Liberal and it flipped to the Reform, I mean Conservatives.
That’s the one that could end up liberal.

Then watch for floor crossers. Disgruntled CPC or NDP (looking at Nunavut) that. may have been very close to being LPC might do some calculations on cost vs benefit.
 
That’s the one that could end up liberal.

Then watch for floor crossers. Disgruntled CPC or NDP (looking at Nunavut) that. may have been very close to being LPC might do some calculations on cost vs benefit.
Even if that one doesn't flip to the Libs, with them sitting at 170, I could easily see 2 MP's crossing the floor like Stronach did in the past.
 
Ouch.
I think that Windsor-Tecumseh riding is after this one. It was Liberal and it flipped to the Reform, I mean Conservatives.
Windsor Tecumseh validated as won by CPC; potential to flip LPC. Two ridings validated as LPC wins are also being judicially recounted; Milton, ON, and I think Terra Nova? in Newfoundland. LPC could lose 0 to 2 seats there. One of them I think LPC have a 12 vote margin.

Nunavut hasn’t yet validated; NDP won by about 1%. Very unlikely but not utterly impossible that it flips.

TONS of angsty whining on social media about the single vote flip in Terrebonne. As you would expect it’s bringing out some of the smoothest of brains that have access to keyboards. Run elections enough times and eventually something will end up with a one vote margin.
 
Even if that one doesn't flip to the Libs, with them sitting at 170, I could easily see 2 MP's crossing the floor like Stronach did in the past.
Floor crossings are usually rewarded with being voted out the following election, so I doubt we'll see much movement there.
 
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