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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

Well, they could just keep this trend going for awhile...

Federal public service shrinks for 1st time in a decade​


Nearly 10,000 jobs shed over the last year, including more than 6,000 at Canada Revenue Agency.

The federal public service has shrunk for the first time since 2015, after shedding nearly 10,000 jobs over the last year, according to new data released by the Treasury Board Secretariat (new window) (TBS).

Of the 9,807 jobs cut between 2024 and 2025, a significant majority — 7,051, or 72 per cent — were in federal agencies such as Parks Canada, the National Capital Commission and the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA). The rest — 2,756 or 28 per cent — were in the core public administration.

The federal public service has shrunk for the first time since 2015, after shedding nearly 10,000 jobs over the last year, according to new data released by the Treasury Board Secretariat (new window) (TBS).

Of the 9,807 jobs cut between 2024 and 2025, a significant majority — 7,051, or 72 per cent — were in federal agencies such as Parks Canada, the National Capital Commission and the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA). The rest — 2,756 or 28 per cent — were in the core public administration.

CRA has announced rounds of layoffs over the last year, with more coming just this week (new window).

would be interesting to compare 2015 staffing levels with the cuts made so far. Canada's population grew by roughly 10% between 2015 and 2024. The civil service expanded by 31%. By my math, a 20% cut in civil service sectors would still leave them with enough staff to handle the increase in Canadian population. My guess is that service organizations such as RCMP, Corrections officers, Coast Guard,customs did not see 31% increases but it was all contained within annal specific groups so since they have only gotten rid of a paltry 10,000 they have a lot more to go without ever interfering with people who actually accomplish something.
 
Well, they could just keep this trend going for awhile...

Federal public service shrinks for 1st time in a decade​


Nearly 10,000 jobs shed over the last year, including more than 6,000 at Canada Revenue Agency.

The federal public service has shrunk for the first time since 2015, after shedding nearly 10,000 jobs over the last year, according to new data released by the Treasury Board Secretariat (new window) (TBS).

Of the 9,807 jobs cut between 2024 and 2025, a significant majority — 7,051, or 72 per cent — were in federal agencies such as Parks Canada, the National Capital Commission and the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA). The rest — 2,756 or 28 per cent — were in the core public administration.

The federal public service has shrunk for the first time since 2015, after shedding nearly 10,000 jobs over the last year, according to new data released by the Treasury Board Secretariat (new window) (TBS).

Of the 9,807 jobs cut between 2024 and 2025, a significant majority — 7,051, or 72 per cent — were in federal agencies such as Parks Canada, the National Capital Commission and the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA). The rest — 2,756 or 28 per cent — were in the core public administration.

CRA has announced rounds of layoffs over the last year, with more coming just this week (new window).

I guess thats why its taken forever to get through to the CRA by phone
 
would be interesting to compare 2015 staffing levels with the cuts made so far. Canada's population grew by roughly 10% between 2015 and 2024. The civil service expanded by 31%. By my math, a 20% cut in civil service sectors would still leave them with enough staff to handle the increase in Canadian population. My guess is that service organizations such as RCMP, Corrections officers, Coast Guard,customs did not see 31% increases but it was all contained within annal specific groups so since they have only gotten rid of a paltry 10,000 they have a lot more to go without ever interfering with people who actually accomplish something.
People who actually accomplish things seem to be the first to go, because they are too busy doing things to empire build or protect their area.

Shrinking by attrition is a ridiculous way to do things, and also the cowards way out. Similarly if they way to increase DND spending by about 3 times over the next decade or so they need to actually massively grow DND, PSPC, and other supporting PS (like whoever does security clearances).
 
Here's a quick $10B savings... a drop in the bucket but every little bit helps! ;)


Federal government could save $10.7 billion by eliminating eight spending initiatives​


During its tenure, the Trudeau government rejected any semblance of spending restraint and increased spending (and borrowing) at every turn. However, due to the rising cost of deficits and debt, coupled with pressures to increase spending in neglected areas such as defence, the next federal government—whoever that may be—may finally be forced to find savings and reduce spending.

But where to look?

The government should immediately review all spending on the basis of efficiency, value for money, and the appropriate role of government—similar to the spending review initiated by the federal Chrétien government during the 1990s. Here are some line items ripe for the cutting board.


 
Here's a quick $10B savings... a drop in the bucket but every little bit helps! ;)


Federal government could save $10.7 billion by eliminating eight spending initiatives​


During its tenure, the Trudeau government rejected any semblance of spending restraint and increased spending (and borrowing) at every turn. However, due to the rising cost of deficits and debt, coupled with pressures to increase spending in neglected areas such as defence, the next federal government—whoever that may be—may finally be forced to find savings and reduce spending.

But where to look?

The government should immediately review all spending on the basis of efficiency, value for money, and the appropriate role of government—similar to the spending review initiated by the federal Chrétien government during the 1990s. Here are some line items ripe for the cutting board.


Counter arguement, some of those innovation programs are directly benefiting the CAF, where government funding is being used for R&D in things companies probably wouldn't do on their own because of the risk, or doesn't make commercial sense.

Some of the additive manufacturing stuff is incredibly useful, especially when you are trying to maintain obsolete equipment. Aside from 3D printing new parts, we're also using it to repair help build parts back up from years of wear, as some of them use way less heat compared to welding/brazing. Things like that don't necessarily make financial sense in most industries, but does in a lot of the defence equipment.

Some of these could be better managed for sure, but complete slashes would be heavy handed and throwing out the proverbial baby.

Aside from spending, I'd like to see improving efficiency by slashing process, and the TD approval one immediately comes to mind. On the procurement side, just adjusting the dollar values where process kicks in upwards would make a massive difference. If you could buy things with 3 quotes for under $5k instead of $1k for example, or similarly bump up the $25k and other thresholds, that would effectively reduce the LOE for a lot of procurements immediately without having to spend any time or effort in looking at eliminating the 43 approval gates.
 
I guess thats why its taken forever to get through to the CRA by phone
Good luck with that. I dialed 10 minutes every morning for 3 months and throughout the day before finally making contact.
Here's a quick $10B savings... a drop in the bucket but every little bit helps! ;)


Federal government could save $10.7 billion by eliminating eight spending initiatives​


During its tenure, the Trudeau government rejected any semblance of spending restraint and increased spending (and borrowing) at every turn. However, due to the rising cost of deficits and debt, coupled with pressures to increase spending in neglected areas such as defence, the next federal government—whoever that may be—may finally be forced to find savings and reduce spending.

But where to look?

The government should immediately review all spending on the basis of efficiency, value for money, and the appropriate role of government—similar to the spending review initiated by the federal Chrétien government during the 1990s. Here are some line items ripe for the cutting board.


how about the UN? That would save a bundle and we could forward that to Ukraine as our pledge.
 
Good luck with that. I dialed 10 minutes every morning for 3 months and throughout the day before finally making contact.

how about the UN? That would save a bundle and we could forward that to Ukraine as our pledge.
We're one of the rich countries that pays it's dues, and those dues go towards paying the ragtag banana republics of the world to provide it's peacekeepers.

I think we're supposed to be seen giving money to the UN, not taking it 😉
 
I have no idea where the $200B dollar figure came from, and sure, it's probably overstated, but this article is pretty excessively negative, and at least this is progress on something that has been getting worse in my lifetime.

Shouldn't be harder for someone to sell their product, or transfer their professional qualification to another province in Canada than it is for them to go to Europe or elsewhere. The province to province agreements are the key ones, but the federal ones as well as the recent interprovincial agreements are definitely driven as a response to the tariffs, and it's a good thing.

This shouldn't be a politics thing, and if the CPC want to chuck stones their record when they held power for a decade is non-existant on this one, but can we not celebrate small wins without making it a partisan issue? On this issue, the premiers are co-operating for the benefit of Canadians like functional adults should, and that's a nice change.
 
.
I have no idea where the $200B dollar figure came from, and sure, it's probably overstated, but this article is pretty excessively negative, and at least this is progress on something that has been getting worse in my lifetime.
I've read estimates from various think tanks ranging from $30B to $200B, and some as fractions of GDP: 1.5% to 2% ($33B to $45B). I suppose these include everything the authors could think of. The jump is not expected to happen in one year.

CCPA engages in its own direction of motivated reasoning, which somehow always manages to be very conservative of changing anything which isn't new spending.

A $2B surge would by definition be "billions".

It is approximately absurd to propose that freer trade won't result in more of it.
 
I have no idea where the $200B dollar figure came from, and sure, it's probably overstated, but this article is pretty excessively negative, and at least this is progress on something that has been getting worse in my lifetime.

Shouldn't be harder for someone to sell their product, or transfer their professional qualification to another province in Canada than it is for them to go to Europe or elsewhere. The province to province agreements are the key ones, but the federal ones as well as the recent interprovincial agreements are definitely driven as a response to the tariffs, and it's a good thing.

This shouldn't be a politics thing, and if the CPC want to chuck stones their record when they held power for a decade is non-existant on this one, but can we not celebrate small wins without making it a partisan issue? On this issue, the premiers are co-operating for the benefit of Canadians like functional adults should, and that's a nice change.
I haven't really followed this whole 'inter-provincial trade' issue much at all

I agree with everything you've said here tho
 
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I've read estimates from various think tanks ranging from $30B to $200B, and some as fractions of GDP: 1.5% to 2% ($33B to $45B). I suppose these include everything the authors could think of. The jump is not expected to happen in one year.

CCPA engages in its own direction of motivated reasoning, which somehow always manages to be very conservative of changing anything which isn't new spending.

A $2B surge would by definition be "billions".

It is approximately absurd to propose that freer trade won't result in more of it.

To be fair, the CCPA is a left wing think tank and is presenting and argument (without a spreadsheet calculation) that free trade is bad between provinces because local 'rights' will be trampled. I assume this includes union agreements, which they'd be interested in propping up.

Anyways, this report doesn't show any calculations that convince me they're right, but I'm open to being proven wrong - as per SOP - on that....

The premiers’ new clothes: A critical look at the race to remove interprovincial trade barriers - CCPA
 
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I've read estimates from various think tanks ranging from $30B to $200B, and some as fractions of GDP: 1.5% to 2% ($33B to $45B). I suppose these include everything the authors could think of. The jump is not expected to happen in one year.

CCPA engages in its own direction of motivated reasoning, which somehow always manages to be very conservative of changing anything which isn't new spending.

A $2B surge would by definition be "billions".

It is approximately absurd to propose that freer trade won't result in more of it.
Some of it is apparently things like how the bottles of wine need to be labeled so makes it hard for BC wine to sell in Ontario and vice versa, so I would think there are opportunities to grow sales within Canada as people are looking for replacement wines for Californian wine (for example), and may replace some of those sales long term, just by people adjusting habits/brand loyalties.

I'm sure there are lots of other practical implications for interprovincial trade, and probably very few that have any real impact on the consumer, as most safety related things are regulated federally, or generally the standard between provinces is similar in broad strokes, so just different in the inconsequential details (like labeling requirements).

Probably one of those things that is difficult to estimate and impossible to validate in any case, but I think any time people can eliminate unnecessary barriers to doing something within the same country, that has to be an improvement, even if you can't quantify it. The CCPA arguement that it will result in a race to the bottom is a bit baffling, as there was actually nothing from stopping individual provinces from doing that before, and lowering the certification standard for trades and professions is actually counter productive, as businesses still don't have to actually hire them, and if an entire trade from the province gets a bad rep for low quality work it hurts them.
 
Here's a quick $10B savings... a drop in the bucket but every little bit helps! ;)


Federal government could save $10.7 billion by eliminating eight spending initiatives​


During its tenure, the Trudeau government rejected any semblance of spending restraint and increased spending (and borrowing) at every turn. However, due to the rising cost of deficits and debt, coupled with pressures to increase spending in neglected areas such as defence, the next federal government—whoever that may be—may finally be forced to find savings and reduce spending.

But where to look?

The government should immediately review all spending on the basis of efficiency, value for money, and the appropriate role of government—similar to the spending review initiated by the federal Chrétien government during the 1990s. Here are some line items ripe for the cutting board.


The spending review by Fraser targets the green industry by $1.6 billion but misses a huge target; the oil industry…….$29.6 billion in subsidies! I don’t understand why we keep supporting an industry that has been around for a hundred years and is profitable too.
 
The spending review by Fraser targets the green industry by $1.6 billion but misses a huge target; the oil industry…….$29.6 billion in subsidies! I don’t understand why we keep supporting an industry that has been around for a hundred years and is profitable too.

$21B was for the Trans-mountain pipeline that we bought because we did such a crappy job in the execution of the legal permitting process that the only proponent crazy enough to risk it bailed out on us.

 
People who actually accomplish things seem to be the first to go, because they are too busy doing things to empire build or protect their area.

Shrinking by attrition is a ridiculous way to do things, and also the cowards way out. Similarly if they way to increase DND spending by about 3 times over the next decade or so they need to actually massively grow DND, PSPC, and other supporting PS (like whoever does security clearances).

Related issue?

Toronto, Ontario, Oct. 30, 2024 Immigrants with the greatest potential to fuel Canada’s economy are the most at risk of leaving within the next two years, according to new findings from The Newcomer Perspective, a large-scale study conducted jointly by Ipsos and the Institute for Canadian Citizenship (ICC).

....
  • 26% of newcomers report that they are likely (somewhat and very likely) to leave Canada within two years
  • Housing affordability is the number one reason for planning to leave
  • Likelihood to leave varies considerably by immigration category on arrival, with economic immigrants and those with prior Canadian experience most likely to plan their exits
  • Likelihood to leave also varies considerably across Canada, ranging from 31% of newcomers in Brampton, Ontario, 30% in Toronto, 29% in Vancouver, and 22% in Montreal.

Close to one in three (32%) immigrants in the Canadian Experience Class (i.e. those who were international students or temporary workers before obtaining permanent residency) indicate that they are somewhat likely, or very likely to leave Canada within two years, while only one in five (20%) immigrants admitted by way of Quebec programs say they are likely to leave.

Further underscoring the loss of skilled immigrants, immigrants who have spent 5+ years in Canada are more likely to consider leaving the country (30%), taking with them the skills and experience they have gained, perhaps in search of better opportunities. At the same time, 23% of those who are in the first five years of settling into a new country are also foreseeing their departure from Canada, pointing to a need for support from institutions, both public and private.

The top three reasons driving the likelihood of leaving Canada are all economic: housing costs (79%), low salary/income (65%) and concerns about the economy generally (54%).

Almost eight in ten (79%) newcomers say that Canada has been worse than expected
as a place that gives them access to affordable housing, compared to only 10% who think it is better than expected. Housing far outranks any other aspect of the newcomer journey when it comes to falling short of expectations.

Further, more than half (51%) express that Canada falls short of their expectations as a place to get ahead financially and more than six in ten (61%) believe that their current income is not commensurate to their credentials and experience.

....

The difference between a native-born Canadian and an immigrant is that the immigrant has already cut their roots. They are willing to drift.
 
The difference between a native-born Canadian and an immigrant is that the immigrant has already cut their roots. They are willing to drift.
Make Canada a much less desirable place to live and newly arrived immigrants would be right to ditch this place. Something our federal government should pay attention.

I listened to an immigrant from Panama (she came as a young lady in 1989) and she is furious with how immigrants DO NOT try to blend into Canadian society and what she sees as abuse of our generosity.

Cue the excuse mongers.
 
Make Canada a much less desirable place to live and newly arrived immigrants would be right to ditch this place. Something our federal government should pay attention.

I listened to an immigrant from Panama (she came as a young lady in 1989) and she is furious with how immigrants DO NOT try to blend into Canadian society and what she sees as abuse of our generosity.

Cue the excuse mongers.

Recent immigrants are better prepared to integrate than other cohorts, apparently....

Canada’s Changing Immigration Patterns, 2000—2024​

  • Immigration, after 2000 and especially after 2015, is characterized by substantial increases in the absolute number of immigrants admitted, as well the share admitted as temporary foreign workers and international students.
  • For example, from 2000 to 2015, the total number of immigrants increased at a simple average annual rate of 4% compared to 15% from 2016 to 2024. As well, permanent admissions as a share of total admissions declined by .83 percentage points per year from 2000 to 2015 and by 1.1 percentage points per year from 2016 to 2024.
  • These recent developments reflect changes in government policy. In particular, the International Mobility Program (IMP) of 2014 enabled Canadian employers to bring in greater numbers of temporary workers from abroad to fill lower-paying jobs.
  • The Advisory Council on Economic Growth appointed by the Trudeau government in early 2016 recommended substantial increases in permanent immigration, as well as in the number of international students who would become eligible for permanent status after acquiring Canadian educational credentials. The Trudeau government enthusiastically embraced the recommendation.
  • Recent immigrants to Canada seem better equipped to participate in the labour market than earlier cohorts. For example, over the period from 2011 to 2021, the percentage of established immigrants with a bachelor’s degree or higher increased, and the vast majority of admitted immigrants speak at least one of the official languages. Moreover, recent immigrants enjoy higher employment rates than did earlier cohorts.
  • Nevertheless, public concern about the impact of increased immigration—primarily on the affordability of housing—has led the federal government to reduce planned levels of future immigration substantially.

 
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