• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

I think it would be a little bit foolish to predict how the next federal election is going to go when we cannot predict what Trump is going to do tomorrow, never mind next week, never mind 2 or 3 years from now.

As they say, we can predict everything, except the future.
From reading the posts I think you are both in agreement that the Donald Trump phenomenon seems to be as big a factor (or bigger) in our elections than our own candidates...

Nobody can predict the future
Apologies if this was already posted and I missed it. A rare rebuke by a current government of its predecessor government of the same party; this over Trudeau’s botched LNG export policy:


Carney's Energy Chief Rebukes Trudeau Over LNG Policy in Europe​

Canadian Energy Minister Tim Hodgson said his government is taking steps toward exporting natural gas to Europe, and criticized former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for not making the same effort.

Bloomberg News
Brian Platt

(Bloomberg) — Canadian Energy Minister Tim Hodgson said his government is taking steps toward exporting natural gas to Europe, and criticized former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for not making the same effort.
Article content

“The new Canadian federal government has made a conscious choice to re-center energy and critical minerals in how we think about not only our domestic affairs, but Canada’s place in the world,” Hodgson said in the prepared text of remarks he will deliver at the country’s embassy in Berlin.

His speech comes on the same day Mark Carney wraps up a trip through Europe that included stops in Poland, Ukraine, Germany and Latvia. The Canadian prime minister is trying to shore up relationships with European allies and work on defense and trade agreements in the face of the global tariff war launched by the US.

Hodgson’s speech promoted cooperation between Germany and Canada, including on green hydrogen and critical minerals. But it emphasized Canadian natural gas as a low-risk source of energy.

“Unlike the previous Canadian government, which closed the door to LNG exports, Prime Minister Carney’s government has opened it,” said Hodgson, a rookie politician who previously worked with Carney at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. “If the demand is here, and the infrastructure is built, Canada will deliver.”

The comments are the latest example of how Carney, despite coming from the same Liberal Party as Trudeau, has put a much stronger emphasis on conventional energy exports as a potential source of economic strength.

The idea of shipping liquefied natural gas from Canada’s east coast to European markets has lingered for years, but made little progress. After Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Germany searched for replacements for Russian gas and explored options with Trudeau’s government.

When then-German Chancellor Olaf Scholz visited Canada that summer, Trudeau told reporters the business case for shipping gas to Europe has always been difficult due to the fact Canadian gas fields are mostly located in the west, far away from Atlantic Ocean ports.

Those comments have often been criticized in the years since — though Trudeau also said at the time he was willing to expedite the regulatory process, if a private sector company came forward with a project.

Hodgson said proposals for gas exports to Europe are still in early stages and “no route is mapped out for sure.”

“But any proponent who comes forward with a project that features good economics and buy-in from their province and Indigenous people, we will take a good look at,” he said.

Canada has an LNG terminal on its east coast owned by Spanish energy firm Repsol SA, but it currently imports gas for markets in eastern North America. The company explored expanding it into an export facility, but scrapped the idea in 2023 after determining the pipeline tolls would have made the gas too expensive.

Hodgson and Carney have indicated that another project is on their radar now: using the northern port of Churchill, Manitoba, to ship LNG and other commodities through Hudson Bay and the Arctic Ocean.

However, the port is small, remote and locked in by sea ice for much of the year. Upgrading it would require major investment in new infrastructure, as well as icebreakers to allow for a longer shipping season.

Hodgson told reporters in Germany this week that Churchill’s port is currently “underutilized” but represents a “tremendous opportunity.” Provincial leaders in western Canada are enthusiastic about the concept.

“There seems to be a desire on the part of Germany to buy our natural gas,” Hodgson said. “And we have a desire from proponents, a province and First Nations to develop that for German customers.”

Developing Churchill’s port could unlock exports of LNG and critical minerals, along with creating economic opportunity for Indigenous people and diversifying Canada’s trade networks, Carney told reporters during his Europe tour.

“All of those elements are going to make the country stronger, make us more resilient, make us more prosperous,” he said.


- - - - -

Not unusual to see governments quietly shift policy, but an outright repudiation of what your own party was just doing months ago is, uh, uncommon. They’re saying very strong stuff here and the communicated intent for Churchill is very, very bold. Concrete action will be both necessary and very visible early on if this is to be viable.
"No business case..." 🤦‍♂️
Parliament should be sitting just because seems like a horrible reason for parliament to be sitting.

As for explainions, your comments invite explanations. Notice the Carney government hasn't said peep about parliament not sitting. Just running around doing competent things, not engaging with the kabuki theatre that is question period.

As for why we pay them, tradition probably.
Genuine question here... but what "running around doing competent things" has the Carney government been doing since elected?

From the media I consume, the general consensus is that they haven't really done much so far...


But I am open minded, and would love to have that narrative turned on it's head.
 
Understood. Thank you for the clarification.

That is basically just situational voting, true of many Canadians who more often than not vote against a party rather than for a party.. Not a sign of partisanship.

Case in point - I have voted Mulroney, Martin, Broadbent, Harper, Trudeau and was set to hold my nose and vote PP last go around until the campaign got started....
What was it about the campaign that turned you off of him??
 
Genuine question here... but what "running around doing competent things" has the Carney government been doing since elected?

From the media I consume, the general consensus is that they haven't really done much so far...


But I am open minded, and would love to have that narrative turned on it's head.
Forming strategic and economic partnerships with Europe, actually making investments in the CAF, talking to premiers about infrastructure and energy projects, lead the push to reduce interprovincial trade barriers, lowered taxes, got rid of the consumer carbon tax, cut the GST for first time home buyers for houses under 1m, and is looking to buy subs for the navy.
 
Forming strategic and economic partnerships with Europe, actually making investments in the CAF, talking to premiers about infrastructure and energy projects, lead the push to reduce interprovincial trade barriers, lowered taxes, got rid of the consumer carbon tax, cut the GST for first time home buyers for houses under 1m, and is looking to buy subs for the navy.
Yeah, but other than that????
 
What was it about the campaign that turned you off of him??
He wasted the majority of the campaign on an arrogant gamble that he could convince the electorate that he was still running against Justin Trudeau, then released a last minute abomination of a "platform" that might as well have been written in crayon.
 
He wasted the majority of the campaign on an arrogant gamble that he could convince the electorate that he was still running against Justin Trudeau, then released a last minute abomination of a "platform" that might as well have been written in crayon.
How about specifics and not generalized attacks? Tell me you have no clue what his platform actually was without telling me
 
How about specifics and not generalized attacks? Tell me you have no clue what his platform actually was without telling me
His platform was 30 pages long, about 1/3 of it pictures of him, the majority of of the text copy/paste of superficial blog announcements. A couple of the key fiscal policy blanks (TFSA top up and capital gains) were wasteful wealth transfers that had no place in an austerity budget. The overall budget was a snow job padded with ~40-50 billion in "trust me, my ideas will grow revenues massively" preemptive self congratulation, and once compared apples to apples he was only proposing 20 billion less in combined new spending/ foregone revenue measures than Carney.

I remember it well- it was the straw that had me finally cut ties with the CPC
 
How about specifics and not generalized attacks? Tell me you have no clue what his platform actually was without telling me
I don't know about IKnowNothing, but for me.

Pre election

He pushed crypto currency as a way to opt out of inflation.

He threatened the independence of the governor of the bank of Canada.

Supported the convoy.

During the election

Committed to cut funding to universities that promote things they don't like.

No domestic plan for the environment.

Promising to use the notwithstanding clause to override the charter of rights and freedoms.
 
Most homes are owned and paid for by people with normal employment income (versus, say, Chinese business tycoons looking for a place to offshore wealth), and normal people can only afford so much
Private ownership is in the majority, but according to the CBC, StatsCan says 20% of houses in four provinces were investor-owned in 2020 (not necessarily offshore). One fifth is not an insignificant number. In terms of condos, in Toronto, 41.2% were owned by investors. That's significant enough to drive the direction of the market.


I remember a story about a building on Queen's Quay a few years back before the city started getting a handle on short-term rentals, that the few actual owner-residents felt like they were living in a hotel, with neighbours coming and going with luggage at all hours, parties, etc. Hence the term 'ghost hotel'.
 
I don't know about IKnowNothing, but for me.

Pre election

He pushed crypto currency as a way to opt out of inflation.

He threatened the independence of the governor of the bank of Canada.

Supported the convoy.

During the election

Committed to cut funding to universities that promote things they don't like.

No domestic plan for the environment.

Promising to use the notwithstanding clause to override the charter of rights and freedoms.
Fair enough
 
His platform was 30 pages long, about 1/3 of it pictures of him, the majority of of the text copy/paste of superficial blog announcements. A couple of the key fiscal policy blanks (TFSA top up and capital gains) were wasteful wealth transfers that had no place in an austerity budget. The overall budget was a snow job padded with ~40-50 billion in "trust me, my ideas will grow revenues massively" preemptive self congratulation, and once compared apples to apples he was only proposing 20 billion less in combined new spending/ foregone revenue measures than Carney.

I remember it well- it was the straw that had me finally cut ties with the CPC
You didn't like his housing plan rewarding early completion? Energy resource extraction plan? Expediting most recent "asylum seekers"?

Was there a party you felt had a better plan?
 
Private ownership is in the majority, but according to the CBC, StatsCan says 20% of houses in four provinces were investor-owned in 2020 (not necessarily offshore). One fifth is not an insignificant number. In terms of condos, in Toronto, 41.2% were owned by investors. That's significant enough to drive the direction of the market.


I remember a story about a building on Queen's Quay a few years back before the city started getting a handle on short-term rentals, that the few actual owner-residents felt like they were living in a hotel, with neighbours coming and going with luggage at all hours, parties, etc. Hence the term 'ghost hotel'.
I have heard the same percentages for summer homes on Lake Simcoe. Between Sutton and Orillia they say over half the cottages are now rentals. No neighbourhoods and no communities left
 
Back
Top