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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

The US is the real threat don't you know.
In the immediate term yes.

China isn’t a immediate strategic threat to Canada. They aren’t going to invade us and economically they are stable with us. Ultimately their goals are regional (South China sea, Taiwan, East Russia, etc.), not global, with anything they have going on globally being to strengthen themselves in their region, not as a springboard to invade or attack other countries like how America uses it’s allies.

The US on the other hand is determined to undermine our economy and sovereignty (and is already doing so).

If you don’t think the US is actively trying to harm us, we have spent billions as a country trying to counter some of the damage being done due to their economic games. I have friends who have lost their jobs due to their nonsense. And if it keeps going the way it is, odds are more jobs will be lost along the way.
 
The US on the other hand is determined to undermine our economy and sovereignty (and is already doing so).
China crawling around in the arctic is evidence China is determined to undermine our economy and sovereignty. So is direct Chinese interference in politics and attempts to strongarm Canadian citizens, whether of Chinese descent or otherwise.

As so many people are fond of claiming, the Chinese government is in it for the long haul. Trump has 3 more years. Do the math.
 
China crawling around in the arctic is evidence China is determined to undermine our economy and sovereignty. So is direct Chinese interference in politics and attempts to strongarm Canadian citizens, whether of Chinese descent or otherwise.

As so many people are fond of claiming, the Chinese government is in it for the long haul. Trump has 3 more years. Do the math.
Trumpism will continue though. Someone much smarter than me stated that anyone thinking this is just a blip is an idiot. Not claiming you yourself are an idiot but US policy is unlikely to change after Trump. It may soften. But it will never be as it once was.
 
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Trumpism will continue though. Someone much smarter than me stated that anyone thing this is just a blip is an idiot. Not claiming you yourself are an idiot but US policy is unlikely to change after Trump. It may soften. But it will never be as it once was.
History going back at least a few decades suggests that if a Republican successor to Trump doesn't put his own ideological stamp on all foreign and domestic aspects of the presidency, he'll be approximately the first one not to do so. Even a former VP. For a Democrat to fail to do so is even more unlikely.

The debate, then, is "how much?".

It's prudent to assume that all politicians aiming for the presidency are smart enough to play "go along to get along" (except for the primary candidates just in there to raise their profiles for other reasons) until the prize is grasped. A useful predictive guide to where a politician is heading is his behaviour before he got to a position in which he had to go along. The truest Vance, for example, is probably Vance c 2016 about the time "Hillbilly Elegy" was published. TL;DR, he claimed to be a NeverTrumper, at a time when he could not foresee needing to be in Trump's good book. Is he a convert, or playing a role in pursuit of ends?

I doubt any future president is going to duplicate Trump's communication style. That change in tone alone will be huge. I also doubt any future president is going to duplicate Trump's on-the-bus-off-the-bus irrational changes-his-mind-three-times-a-day unpredictable policy habits. That change, too, will be huge.

With a future Republican, I expect import tariffs to go away and protectionism to revert to pre-Trump levels, driven mainly by Congress. Expectations of high contributions to international security and assistance, I expect to remain. Bellicose threats to friendly nations I expect to disappear entirely. And those three things are pretty much 90%+ of what matters.
 
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