Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[Remius]

Apparently, after


Apparently, when the French-Canadian soldiers landed in France during/after the Normandy landings they had no problems speaking with the locals. Same dialect and everything.

A lot of that French is frozen in time from the 1500s and 1600s

 

[RangerRay]

There's also a case that he had a chance to clearly and consistently change course right after Carney took over, too.

Oh for sure. He will have to wear that failure to adapt for a long time. I would think it would be disqualifying.

But the party in its infinite wisdom decided to give him another kick at the can, and the Tories’ habit of “one and done” leadership is annoying. But I don’t think PP will be able to win in the short term no matter how well he adapts now. He pretty much has to wait for the government to fail in the eyes of the persuadable voters before he can possibly win. Does he have time though?

 

[MilEME09]

This support comes at the right time as Carney needs to win all 3 by elections to get a majority.

 

[Navy_Pete]

Oh for sure. He will have to wear that failure to adapt for a long time. I would think it would be disqualifying.

But the party in its infinite wisdom decided to give him another kick at the can, and the Tories’ habit of “one and done” leadership is annoying. But I don’t think PP will be able to win in the short term no matter how well he adapts now. He pretty much has to wait for the government to fail in the eyes of the persuadable voters before he can possibly win. Does he have time though?

I don't think he has a chance to win in the long term; his political history is too petty, shortsighted and shallow and he's too aligned with fairly polarizing positions to ever wash off the stink.

Maybe a minority government, if the LPC just implodes but would be as a result of the other guy failing, vice his standalone merit. A lot of his seats were votes against the Trudeau Liberals vice votes for the CPC, and he missed that small window.

 

[dapaterson]

I don't think he has a chance to win in the long term; his political history is too petty, shortsighted and shallow and he's too aligned with fairly polarizing positions to ever wash off the stink.

Maybe a minority government, if the LPC just implodes but would be as a result of the other guy failing, vice his standalone merit. A lot of his seats were votes against the Trudeau Liberals vice votes for the CPC, and he missed that small window.

The 2015 election was a CPC loss, not a LPC win. Canadian voters seem to frequently vote against the incumbent government, rather than for the opposition.

 

[MilEME09]

The 2015 election was a CPC loss, not a LPC win. Canadian voters seem to frequently vote against the incumbent government, rather than for the opposition.

seems to be the desire for change after the same leader for a long time, liberals had it coming too until Carney took over, a fresh face with a new direction was enough it seems to refresh many voters.

 

[dapaterson]

The CPC failed to let either Scheer or O'Toole have the space to learn and grow. Both one and done. Very LPC behaviour.

 

[daftandbarmy]

The CPC failed to let either Scheer or O'Toole have the space to learn and grow. Both one and done. Very LPC behaviour.

They've clearly all got the same tailor and barber, too

 

[RangerRay]

I don't think he has a chance to win in the long term; his political history is too petty, shortsighted and shallow and he's too aligned with fairly polarizing positions to ever wash off the stink.

Maybe a minority government, if the LPC just implodes but would be as a result of the other guy failing, vice his standalone merit. A lot of his seats were votes against the Trudeau Liberals vice votes for the CPC, and he missed that small window.

I agree. My point was I can’t see him winning unless the government becomes so toxic that he looks good in comparison. I don’t see that happening anytime soon.

 

[HavokFour]

The PM is visiting Norway next week.

Canadian Prime Minister to visit Norway

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney will be visiting Norway on 13–15 March at the invitation of Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre. On Sunday, the two Prime Ministers will be participating in a Nordic-Canadian summit in Oslo.

www.regjeringen.no

 

[Eaglelord17]

seems to be the desire for change after the same leader for a long time, liberals had it coming too until Carney took over, a fresh face with a new direction was enough it seems to refresh many voters.

Don’t forget the pot vote, that was huge in the 2015 election.

 

[MilEME09]

Don’t forget the pot vote, that was huge in the 2015 election.

So was getting rid of first past the post

 

[YZT580]

Apparently, after


Apparently, when the French-Canadian soldiers landed in France during/after the Normandy landings they had no problems speaking with the locals. Same dialect and everything.

That is no surprise when you consider where France got its recruits for the colonies. England sent Scots, Irish and criminals to staff their colonies. Likewise France sent those from the provinces and the prisons and the poor houses to Quebec. The french they spoke was a distant cousin of the french spoken at court so it is quite likely that the foundations were the same

 

[suffolkowner]

seems to be the desire for change after the same leader for a long time, liberals had it coming too until Carney took over, a fresh face with a new direction was enough it seems to refresh many voters.

a recipe for the future perhaps? Instead of the voters forcing a refresh offer them one instead?

 

[Halifax Tar]

I can’t seeing anything changing until the government starts seriously messing up or failing to make progress on what the voters expected this PM to do. That might be a while.

If we have an election before this happens, it almost seems unfair to me for the Tories to dump PP when they lose. It’s almost like he won’t have a chance of turning things around before the government starts to lose its lustre.

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

 

[Navy_Pete]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Time is never really on the governing parties side, but I think all things considered MC is doing very well and gaining a lot of approval across the board, so may just keep getting worse for PP. Especially for the old PCs that are disillusioned with the Reformer and social conservative sway on the CPC, where it's pretty easy to see MC as a red Tory.

This is a pretty unprecedented time in modern history, and really haven't heard anything out of the CPCs about what they would actually do differently, once you get past their corny verbing the noun slogans and empty complaints and reflexive criticism.

 

[brihard]

PP has to keep this Gov alive for as long as he can for two reasons:

1) Time is not PMMC or the LPCs side. The longer they are in power the more Canadians will see its the same old LPC game of announcements with missing deliverables. As a side quest, time also lets the Dems take back the US Gov. The LPC need DJT to stay in power.

2) An election now would be devastating to the CPC and probably seal his, PP's, fate.

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Alternatively, as time passes more commitments and agreements may turn into delivery and tangible things being built. Which I mean is obviously what we all hope for.

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

I maintain that Poilievre is simply not the leader the times call for. He had a place to play and he did his bit, but against someone like Carney the CPC need to attract someone with similar chops in working in the real world, not an entire adult life spent in the Ottawa Parliamentary bubble.

Absolutely, I am simply trying to think PP. And predict how sees the lay of the land.

 

[brihard]

I guess that depends on the individual policies.

Sorry, I should have clarified that I’m talking specifically about economic development projects.

 

[HavokFour]

Getting wider.

Every alarm bell should be going off in the CPC with how close the Liberals have gotten to them in Alberta, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan.

https://storage.ghost.io/c/5a/2c/5a2c6702-fc8c-4232-bdc0-33fad8d71a80/content/files/2026/03/2026.03.09---Federal-Tracker.pdf

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14

March 9, 2026 (Toronto, ON) – A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows the federal Liberals have established a significant 14-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters with 44% support. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Conservatives in second place at...

press.liaisonstrategies.ca

The trend continues with Nanos. This puts the CPC 3% away from their base starting to erode.

Pragmatism seems to be a key feature politicians in Canada should have.

LPC 46, CPC 33, NDP 10. Preferred PM, Carney 57, Poilievre 22. – Nanos Research

nanos.co