Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[Altair]

Which 12 seats would potentially flip blue to red?

I dont go in depth about polling predictions that change from poll to poll, but the map is there, have fun.

 

[MilEME09]

Well the numbers are in, and 3.4% is well above expectations. If the economy keeps rebounding at this rate, I dont think the opposition will have much to stand on to counter on the economic file.

 

[HavokFour]

Well the numbers are in, and 3.4% is well above expectations. If the economy keeps rebounding at this rate, I dont think the opposition will have much to stand on to counter on the economic file.


View attachment 101516

Very good news.

[Bloomberg]Canada Economy Tracking 3.4% Growth as Energy Sector Booms​

 

[The Bread Guy]

A chance for long-sought-for accountability, or more chances to pick at the Justin Trudeau scab? Discuss

Supreme Court says judicial review of ethics ruling in Trudeau case can proceed

A watchdog group can pursue a court challenge of a federal ethics report on Justin Trudeau’s involvement in decisions about WE Charity, the Supreme Court of Canada has ruled.

www.ctvnews.ca

Landmark SCC ruling says Parliament can’t use privative clauses to prevent judicial review

The ruling paves the way for a federal court to review a 2021 ethics finding on Justin Trudeau

www.canadianlawyermag.com

Democracy Watch v. Canada (Attorney General) - SCC Cases

decisions.scc-csc.ca

Supremes' decision also attached.

 

[Haggis]

It will be intersting to see if this ruling has any impact on the upcoming SCC case opposing the ongoing firearms bans. In previous hearings, the Liberal GoC lawyers argued that the evidence used in the decisions to enact these bans were covered by Cabinet confidence and not subject to examination.

 

[Altair]

Well the numbers are in, and 3.4% is well above expectations. If the economy keeps rebounding at this rate, I dont think the opposition will have much to stand on to counter on the economic file.


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Im still waiting for those youtube news sites like Northern Perspective , rebel news, and Juno news to report about how well the canadian economy is doing.

But yes, great news overall.

 

[brihard]

It will be intersting to see if this ruling has any impact on the upcoming SCC case opposing the ongoing firearms bans. In previous hearings, the Liberal GoC lawyers argued that the evidence used in the decisions to enact these bans were covered by Cabinet confidence and not subject to examination.

Highly unlikely. The SCC decision appears to be a striking down of a statutory bar to judicial review of a particular sort of decision; previously the law was that that decision could not be challenged in court at all.

Cabinet confidence doesn’t preclude legal actions from going forward; it means that cabinet can have certain information excluded from proceedings, and there’s nothing court can do beyond considering whether the material properly falls within that confidence. If it does, there’s no mechanism to overrule cabinet confidence. While it’s a common law legal principle historically, it’s also codified in section 39 of the Canada Evidence Act.

Anyone wanting to challenge firearms bans may do so, they just may not be able to get all material that they want tendered as evidence.

 

[Haggis]

Highly unlikely. The SCC decision appears to be a striking down of a statutory bar to judicial review of a particular sort of decision; previously the law was that that decision could not be challenged in court at all.

Cabinet confidence doesn’t preclude legal actions from going forward; it means that cabinet can have certain information excluded from proceedings, and there’s nothing court can do beyond considering whether the material properly falls within that confidence. If it does, there’s no mechanism to overrule cabinet confidence. While it’s a common law legal principle historically, it’s also codified in section 39 of the Canada Evidence Act.

Thanks for that.

Anyone wanting to challenge firearms bans may do so, they just may not be able to get all material that they want tendered as evidence.

Which is what happened last time at the Federal Court.

 

[Altair]

https://www.reuters.com/business/canada-records-much-smaller-budget-deficit-over-first-two-months-202627-2026-07-31/

OTTAWA, July 31 (Reuters) - Canada recorded a much smaller budget deficit over the first two months of the ‌2026/27 fiscal year compared to a year earlier as revenues grew faster than expenses, the finance ministry said on Friday.
The combined deficit for April and ⁠May was C$1.36 billion compared to C$9.91 billion a year earlier.

Revenues over the two months grew by 15.5% on increases in most major categories - primarily gains in income and excise taxes - while expenses posted a more modest 3.7% gain.


Public ‌debt ⁠charges increased by 3.3%, largely reflecting higher effective average interest rates on an increased stock of marketable bonds.
The May deficit was ⁠C$0.31 billion, compared to a C$2.20 billion shortfall in May 2025.
The finance ministry also released ⁠the data for April, showing a C$1.05 billion deficit compared to a ⁠C$7.71 billion shortfall in April 2025.

It remains to be seen if they will splurge at the end of the year, as governments do, but I find it interesting how close the government is to balance.

Maybe having a banker in charge isn't the worse idea.

 

[CBH99]

https://www.reuters.com/business/canada-records-much-smaller-budget-deficit-over-first-two-months-202627-2026-07-31/

It remains to be seen if they will splurge at the end of the year, as governments do, but I find it interesting how close the government is to balance.

Maybe having a banker in charge isn't the worse idea.

It's only fair to give credit where it's due...

I am still very much on the fence with Carney but if this in fact is a sign of things turning around then I applaud him for it

 

[Czech_pivo]

Well the numbers are in, and 3.4% is well above expectations. If the economy keeps rebounding at this rate, I dont think the opposition will have much to stand on to counter on the economic file.


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Outdoes the US by more than 100% as their 2nd quarter came in at 1.5% growth.

 

[Altair]

Outdoes the US by more than 100% as their 2nd quarter came in at 1.5% growth.

11th province.

 

[MilEME09]

https://www.reuters.com/business/canada-records-much-smaller-budget-deficit-over-first-two-months-202627-2026-07-31/

It remains to be seen if they will splurge at the end of the year, as governments do, but I find it interesting how close the government is to balance.

Maybe having a banker in charge isn't the worse idea.

I mean alot of his ideas were also risks, some just appear to be paying off

 

[Altair]

I mean alot of his ideas were also risks, some just appear to be paying off

Yes, also takes some restraint though.

Trudeau would have seen 15 percent higher revenue and spent 15 percent higher revenue.