Canadian youth a ‘rounding error’ compared to Carney government’s $88.8 billion projected OAS spending for seniors
While Prime Minister Mark Carney’s spring fiscal update directed nearly $2 billion toward housing affordability, it left untouched roughly $17.5 billion in annual Old Age Security (OAS) payments flowing to retirees with six-figure household incomes.
OAS is by far the largest and fastest-growing line item in the federal budget, projected to cost $88.8 billion for the 2026-27 fiscal year, at a time when young Canadians face a cost-of-living crisis, delayed independence, and rising underemployment.
“The money they’re putting into housing affordability, child care, post-secondary education, or youth employment is really kind of a rounding error,” says Paul Kershaw, founder and director of Generation Squeeze, a non-partisan organization advocating for clawing back OAS payments.
New Statistics Canada data shows that millennials aged 25 to 39 are twice as likely to live with their parents as Baby Boomers were at the same age, 16.3 percent in 2021 versus 8.2 percent in 1991, with rates soaring to 26.1 percent in Toronto and 19.3 percent in Vancouver. This surge in multigenerational living reflects a housing affordability crisis that has left younger Canadians delaying independence, partnerships, and family formation.
Compounding the pressure, youth unemployment has climbed sharply by 57 percent in the last three years.
The World Happiness Report released earlier this year highlighted a stark intergenerational divide in Canada. Canadians over 65 ranked among the top eight countries globally for life satisfaction, while Canadians under 30 placed 58th
Meanwhile, a recent analysis published by The Hub underscores this part of the decline in young Canadians’ life satisfaction. For the first time in Canadian history, the average man aged 65 and over now earns more ($61,600) than the average man aged 25-34 ($61,200).
As the quality of life has deteriorated for young Canadians, the starting of families has likewise declined. Canada’s total fertility rate hit a record low of 1.25 children per woman in 2024, placing it in the “ultra-low” category alongside countries like Japan and South Korea. A 2023 Cardus study found Canadian women still want an average of 2.2 children, underscoring that economic barriers, not shifting values, are driving a delay in Canadians having children.
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