Brad Sallows
Army.ca Legend
- Reaction score
- 8,706
- Points
- 1,040
Lame prediction: renewed interest in checks and balances in general, and the senate filibuster in particular, among Democrats.
Remius said:A lot of long faces in the media right now.
Brad Sallows said:Trump has 255 on RCP right now, with 3 paths: PA (20), MI (16), or AZ(11)+NH(4). People who seem to know what they are talking about think he's likely to take either PA or MI, and possibly both.
Donald Trump's strong performance dealt a crushing blow to the credibility of the nation's leading pollsters, calling into question their mathematical models, assumptions and survey methods.
Several months of polls pegged Hillary Clinton as the leader in the polarizing race and as the leader in many key battleground states.
But Trump's surge crushed the conventional wisdom among pollsters. Late Tuesday, it appeared he was far outpacing projections across the board.
Even if Clinton pulls off a victory, the results suggest pollsters may have wildly underestimated the number of hidden Trump voters — people who stampeded to the ballot box on Election Day but never showed up on the radar of surveyors.