• Thanks for stopping by. Logging in to a registered account will remove all generic ads. Please reach out with any questions or concerns.

US Election: 2016

cupper said:
Smartest thing the GOP could do is avoid the clown show that they put everyone through last time, not run against the current resident of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. and come up with a sound, coherent platform with meaningful policy proposals.

They did; look up the "Romney was psychic" meme on the Internet. Of course the PCPO also had a well thought out and coherent platform as well (and we may actually get it implemented as the current Liberal government wakes up to the reality of a credit downgrade), but voters bought the fear mongering instead, and look what that got them in the US and Ontario.
 
For those unaware, ex-Senator James Webb is a former US Secretary of the Navy, and a Vietnam veteran. His acclaimed novel "Fields of Fire" is considered by many as required reading in US Marine OCS/TBS because of its vivid descriptions of life and combat within a USMC infantry platoon during the Vietnam War.

Webb 'seriously looking' at 2016 bid

Kelly Cohen
September 23, 2014

Add former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb to the list of potential 2016 Democratic presidential candidates.

During his speech at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, the former secretary of the Navy said he is “seriously looking at the possibility of running for president.”

Webb, who was recently called “Hillary Rodham Clinton’s worst nightmare” by the New York Times, said he would decide within the next four to five months.

[...]

Washington Examiner
 
S.M.A. said:
For those unaware, ex-Senator James Webb is a former US Secretary of the Navy, and a Vietnam veteran. His acclaimed novel "Fields of Fire" is considered by many as required reading in US Marine OCS/TBS because of its vivid descriptions of life and combat within a USMC infantry platoon during the Vietnam War.

Washington Examiner

I would love to see Webb run and take the Democratic nomination. But Webb is way too conservative for the progressives in the party and not likely to dethrone the Queen designate.
 
For those unaware, he's a state governor of Indian/South Asian descent and reportedly another GOP favourite who is mulling a presidential run...

Reuters

Possible Republican 2016 contender Jindal stakes out hawkish tone
BY JEFF MASON
WASHINGTON Mon Oct 6, 2014 5:08pm EDT

(Reuters) - Potential 2016 Republican presidential candidate Bobby Jindal on Monday pressed for an increase in U.S. defense spending to 4 percent of GDP, distinguishing himself from rivals in the future nominating race with a hawkish tone on foreign policy.

The Louisiana governor, who is considering a run for the presidency, is trying to appeal to right-leaning conservatives in his party with an aggressive stance on foreign policy while distancing himself from Tea Party-affiliated candidates with more isolationist tendencies.

"Within the arena of national defense, the need now is for more funding, not less," Jindal said during remarks at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, setting a goal for defense spending to reach 4 percent of U.S. gross domestic product.

"We must undo the president’s harmful spending cuts, and ensure that our fighting men and women always have the tools they need to succeed."

(...SNIPPED)
 
Not sure what to think of this...

Business Insider

Conservatives Are Already Freaking Out About Jeb Bush's Possible Run For President
Business Insider
By Brett LoGiurato | Business Insider – 6 hours ago

During a prominent gathering of conservatives in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, the largest spattering of boos among the crowd didn't come at speakers' frequent mentions of President Barack Obama.

The loudest jeers came when a speaker would mention former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.
"You know, I heard Jeb Bush the other day," mogul Donald Trump said during his speech at the Freedom Summit, hosted by the conservative groups Citizens United and the Americans for Prosperity Foundation. He paused in his speech as the boos started.

As chatter heats up about a Bush possibly running for president in 2016, he faces a potentially significant obstacle — convincing the conservative base to rally around him as a Republican nominee.
Conservatives' problems with Bush, the brother of former President George W. Bush and younger son of
President George H.W. Bush,  are threefold. First, he supports overhauling the nation's immigration system, something that has made some on the right charge he supports "amnesty" for undocumented immigrants living in the US. Bush also has embraced the Common Core educational standards, a policy that is quickly becoming the "Obamacare" of education on the right.

And, to a lesser extent, conservatives also agree with the sentiment of Bush over-saturation. They are tired of the Bush name representing the Republican Party, and they want to avoid a potential third Bush in office over the last five presidencies.

(...SNIPPED)
 
So apparently he has a decent shot at the top job.  Which would mean that he has backers that like him and his family and, apparently, a solid cadre of people that are likely to vote for him - probably due to a consideration of Jeb and the Bushes versus the alternatives.

If he didn't have a shot why would anybody be bothered?

Any village idiot can run for office.  Most are not considered threats.  Although some actually do defy the odds and get elected.
 
More internal stresses in the Democrat party, from Instapundit:

http://pjmedia.com/instapundit/198882

SO WHY ALL THE FERGUSON HOOPLA? Last time the Dems and Sharpton made a big deal of a shooting, it was the Trayvon Martin case, hyped to keep up black turnout for 2012. But now there’s not an election. So why Ferguson, and why now? Polling indicates that most people aren’t all that sympathetic, and protests that tie up Interstates, etc. aren’t going to attract swing voters.

But it’s not about swing voters. It’s about the base. And it’s not about the Democratic Party’s base, but about certain leaders’ base within the Democratic Party. This may be best understood as an intra-party struggle. Obama is the champion of the urban-black wing of the party, and because of him that wing has been on top. But his star is fading, black voters are beginning to realize that they haven’t benefited economically, and the next Dem nominee — whether it’s Hillary Clinton, Jim Webb, or Elizabeth Warren — will be from the white gentry-liberal wing of the Democratic Party. The riots, the marches, the traffic-blocking are a way of telling them that the Sharpton wing is still a force to be reckoned with, and to improve its bargaining power between now and 2016. At least, that’s the only way this — not at all spontaneous — street theater makes sense.
 
Romney again? But then again Nixon did run more than once and lost at least once before becoming president later.

Reuters

Romney tops Republican poll for '16; ahead of Clinton in election

(Reuters) - Mitt Romney, the Republican Party's unsuccessful presidential nominee in 2012, leads the field for the 2016 election among Republican voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

The former Massachusetts governor would have a slight edge over potential Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton by 45 percent to 44 percent in a general election, the poll found.

Among possible Republican candidates, Romney's 19 percent put him ahead of former Florida governor Jeb Bush with 11 percent, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and Ben Carson each with 8 percent each, and U.S. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky with 6 percent.

(...SNIPPED)
 
There are just too many rumblings down here about the possibility of Romney making another run at the White House to discount an announcement within the next few months.
 
One of the issues that won't be on the table is the large and growing underclass. Here is a review of a book about how some of the 47% really live:

http://reason.com/archives/2014/11/30/the-ghetto-archipelago

The Ghetto Archipelago
Life in an inner-city police state
J.D. Tuccille from the December 2014 issue

On the Run: Fugitive Life in an American City, by Alice Goffman, University of Chicago Press, 288 pages, $25

For six years, starting as a University of Pennsylvania sophomore, the sociologist Alice Goffman lived in a black Philadelphia neighborhood that she calls 6th Street. (The place name is a pseudonym, as are the names of the people Goffman describes.) There she immersed herself in the family lives and legal woes of people whose experiences were far removed from her own. In On the Run, her book about the experience, Goffman concludes that the neighborhood is molded by its young men's relationship with the criminal justice system and that such places constitute an archipelago of racially tense police states within a larger liberal democracy.

The police presence in 6th Street is pervasive. Residents, young black men in particular, can expect to be frequently stopped, questioned, and searched. Many initial arrests are for drugs, often possession of marijuana. After that, as Goffman records, the system takes on a horrible logic of its own. Criminal records make employment hard to find, and recurring court dates devour time that might be devoted to work, job searches, or family responsibilities. Without regular income, court fees add up and may prove unpayable. Many of the people Goffman writes about are essentially constant low-level fugitives, hunted by police for missed appointments. Some end up committing additional crimes to pay their accumulating debts to the courts.

People living on the wrong side of the law are both dependent on and vulnerable to those around them. Goffman documents how chronic legal problems prevent young men from attending the births of their children or the funerals of their friends, since the authorities often monitor those occasions looking to make arrests. Those legal problems also provide opportunities for angry girlfriends and other acquaintances to avenge perceived wrongs with a simple phone call to the cops.

Neighborhoods heavily populated by young men on the run (usually in the most figurative sense, since their lives become circumscribed by familiar people and streets) also create business opportunities for those willing to serve their idiosyncratic needs. One memorable character in On the Run is Jevon, whose memory and ability at mimicry allow him to earn money impersonating men to their parole officers for curfew-checking phone calls. Another, Rakim, augments income from his passport photo business selling clean urine to men facing drug tests. Many local businesses-such as rental car lots and motels-have two price sheets, one for mainstream customers and one for those who have no credit cards or ID.

Identification itself is a commodity, with employees inside the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation selling drivers licenses-basically, new identities-for a substantial fee. (Other public employees, from court clerks to prison guards, also find it lucrative to sell favors and services.) "The level of social control that tough-on-crime policy envisions-particularly in a liberal state-is so extreme and difficult to implement," Goffman writes, "that it has led to a flourishing black market to ease the pains of supervision."

Not everybody profits from assisting these fugitives. Indeed, the depth and quality of intimate relationships are often judged by the degree to which people are willing to put themselves on the line to shield those sought by the police. That puts otherwise legally unsullied people at risk, as authorities pressure them for information using an arsenal that includes repeated raids and vindictively strict enforcement of a spider web of laws, including building codes, traffic rules, and business licensing requirements.

Through it all, policies intended to battle crime wind up creating a more criminal world. Barriers to legitimate employment multiply, so that many find it easier to stay outside the law than to work within it. This community is subject to excruciatingly close scrutiny; transgressions that might go unnoticed elsewhere result in serious consequences-and in more criminals to be policed.

Goffman's book has won both praise and pushback. Some of the questions its critics have posed are almost inevitable for a work at the intersection of sociology and advocacy journalism. Is the author just recording observations or is she trying to reveal a larger truth? And what about her very palpable presence in the lives of the people under scrutiny-eating alongside them, helping them out of jams, even professing unlikely ignorance under police questioning? How does that influence the final result?

One prominent critic is Dwayne Betts, a Yale Law School student who comes from a background comparable to that of Goffman's subjects. Writing in Slate, Betts objects that the author's "unrelenting focus on criminality is just as likely to encourage more arrests and surveillance than to convince people that mass incarceration should end." The book, he writes, is essentially a titillating peek into an alien society, one less likely to enlighten the reader than to give him license to marvel and shudder.

But Betts seems to suggest it's better to ignore the cycle of criminality and police reaction that make up a large part of life in many troubled neighborhoods. (Betts himself spent eight years in prison for carjacking before moving on to a very different life.) The book's unflattering portrait of the cops and courts hardly encourages calls for a heavier police presence.

Sara Mayeux of the University of Pennsylvania Law School has criticized Goffman for not adequately supporting some of her claims, such as her assertion that police peruse hospital visitor logs for people with open warrants. On Mayeux's blog, she argues that Goffman's "book is unevenly footnoted," requiring reader faith in the accuracy of portrayed conversations and experiences.

As a method, ethnography deliberately engages subjects in ways that escape the mile-high social-science approach; the tradeoff for such intimate and compelling access is that you're going to have a hard time documenting everything in a traditional scholarly way. And yes, it's true that Goffman's subjective approach and the advocacy built into it are open to challenge by those with different experiences and agendas. But Goffman does acknowledge the many neighborhood residents who work legitimate jobs and enjoy minimal legal entanglements, often as the result of a great personal effort to resist the pressures of the surrounding culture and the ever-present scrutiny of the police.

Goffman does have an ax to grind. She sympathizes with her subjects even as they venture into lives of criminality that are not always victimless. (She has an understandable soft spot for Tim, whose first arrest came at the age of 11 while traveling in a car he didn't know was stolen.) Yet despite that sympathy, Goffman is capable of criticizing the people of 6th Street. She notes, for example, that while encounters with the legal system make seeking work and getting ahead difficult, "being wanted also serves as a way to save face and to explain personal inadequacies." Constant conflict with the law not only raises hurdles to success but becomes a convenient excuse for failures that have little to do with courts or cops.

The world Goffman captures is not one amenable to easy solutions-though backing off the heavy-handed law enforcement would be a good start. A culture damaged and defined by decades under what Goffman describes as "one of the last repressive regimes of the age" is not one that's going to heal overnight.
 
Meanwhile in the US Congress...dissent among the GOP ranks calling for House Speaker Boehner's ousting. A party that seems to be as divided as ever with 2016 just around the corner.

CNN

Conservative call for Boehner coup grows louder

Washington (CNN)Conservative momentum to oust John Boehner from House leadership during Tuesday's election for speaker continued to build through the weekend, with two alternatives emerging and a national conservative group joining the effort.

On Monday, Virginia Rep.-elect Dave Brat became the latest to confirm his intention to vote against Boehner for speaker. On Sunday night, Arizona Rep. Paul Gosar and Iowa Rep. Steve King also came out opposed to Boehner.

In an op-ed published on Breitbart.com, King outlined a litany of complaints with the Speaker, arguing Boehner hasn't done enough to oppose President Barack Obama's signature health care law or the President's executive action on immigration and pointing to passage of the recent government funding bill, which tackled neither, as evidence.

Leadership aides, however, remain confident that Boehner will hold onto his position as the top Republican in the House. Conservatives need to gather nearly 30 lawmakers opposed to him to force a second round of voting in the race.

But the developing coup attempt is the latest reminder for the Ohio Republican that conservatives remain a troublesome and unpredictable force in his caucus that can cause public embarrassment if not out-and-out regime change.

(...SNIPPED)
 
cupper said:
There are just too many rumblings down here about the possibility of Romney making another run at the White House to discount an announcement within the next few months.

The rumblings just got considerably louder:

Romney tells donors he is considering 2016 campaign

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/01/09/romney-tells-donors-he-is-considering-2016-campaign/?hpid=z3

Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican presidential nominee, told Republican donors in New York on Friday that he is seriously considering a third presidential campaign in 2016, according to a source present at the meeting.

Spencer Zwick, Romney’s former national finance co-chairman who was at the New York meeting, confirmed that Romney is weighing a 2016 run.

“I believe Mitt Romney is too much of a patriot to sit on the sidelines and concede the presidency to Hillary Clinton or Elizabeth Warren when he knows that he can fix the country,” Zwick said. “He traveled the country in 2014, met with voters, met with citizens, and I think at the end of the day he believes he could actually make a difference.”

Zwick added, “He won’t make a decision to run for president based on who else is in the race. He will make a decision based on his own desire and his own abilities. He has to decide on his own.”

Romney’s move, first reported by the Wall Street Journal, comes as former Florida governor Jeb Bush is swiftly snatching up major party donors and operatives as he prepares for an all-but-certain presidential campaign.

The former Massachusetts governor held a lengthy meeting on Friday with about 30 major donors to his past campaigns at an office in midtown Manhattan. His comment that he was seriously considering running came in response to a question from an attendee who asked if he would clear up whether he was jumping in the race.

“One of the more interesting things was Mitt said, ‘People ask if I really want to be president,’ and he said, ‘I’ve run twice. Yeah, I want to be president,’” said a source present for the session who was granted anonymity to share details of the meeting. “He said that box is checked.”

Romney's wife, Ann, had sounded adamant in public comments last year that she did not want him to run for president in 2016. “Done. Completely," she said in October when asked about the prospect of another presidential campaign. “Not only Mitt and I are done, but the kids are done. Done. Done. Done.”

But Romney told donors on Friday that Ann had changed her mind, according to a person in the room.

“Mitt said that Ann was ‘very encouraging,’ but that the boys are split,” this person said.

Romney's remarks Friday immediately electrified the Republican donor world, and set phones ringing across the country.

“What he has said to me before is, ‘I am preserving my options.’ What he is now saying is, ‘I am seriously considering a run,’” noted Bobbie Kilberg, a top GOP fundraiser who bundled millions for Romney’s 2012 bid. “And he said that in a room with 30 people. That is a different degree of intensity.”

“What that says to me that Mitt understands that if he is going to get into this race, he needs to get into it the very near future,” Kilberg added.

Since the GOP's midterm election romp, Romney has cultivated his role as one of the party's key behind-the-scenes players, nurturing relationships with members of Congress and keeping in close touch with his former consultants.

He made more than 80 phone calls to GOP candidates after the election — including Senate candidates Joni Ernst of Iowa and Thom Tillis of North Carolina — to congratulate them on their victories. He spent election night in Boston watching returns at the home of former aide Ron Kaufman, stopping in later at the Seaport Hotel to congratulate Baker on his win.

In the days after the elections, a group of Romney supporters began circulating a memo that compared the success of his midterm endorsements with those made by Hillary Rodham Clinton, the front-runner for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination

The documents, which were obtained by The Washington Post, concluded that two out of three Romney candidates won their elections, compared with one in three for Clinton.

On Wednesday, Romney met with several of his former political advisers in Menlo Park, Calif., for a private dinner shortly after he lectured at Stanford University on presidential politics.

At the table were four Romney loyalists who held senior positions in his 2012 presidential campaign: Ben Ginsberg, Katie Biber Chen, Andrea Saul, and Lanhee Chen.

Ginsberg and Biber Chen were Romney’s campaign counselors during Romney’s last bid, Saul was his national press secretary, and Chen was his policy director.

According to a source who requested anonymity to discuss a private gathering, Romney ducked a question during the Stanford class about whether he would once again mount a White House bid.

The course, POLISCI 72, was titled “Policy, Politics, and the Presidency: Understanding the 2016 Campaign from Start to Finish,” according to a university syllabus. Its description begins: “In 2016, Americans will once again go to the polls to select a new president. But what will actually happen behind-the-scenes between now and then is largely a mystery to most.”

After the dinner, Romney took a red-eye flight to Boston to attend Massachusetts Republican Charlie Baker’s gubernatorial inauguration Thursday.

Romney’s decision to offer a more forceful declaration of his interest in running again appears to have been spurred by Bush’s quick entry into the race. Longtime Romney donors being wooed by Bush have been urging the former Massachusetts governor to let his intentions be known quickly, so they can decide who to back.

And one immediate challenge that would face Romney in a new presidential bid: many of the top donors and fundraisers that backed his last campaign have already signed up to back potential rivals such as Bush or New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Senior party operatives who assisted his bid are also getting scooped up. GOP super lawyer Charlie Spies, who co-founded the pro-Romney super PAC Restore our Future, is now representing two new pro-Bush PACs.

“Talking to lots of people close to him, I know the idea is still alive and certainly there are many of us who think he’d be an outstanding president,” said former Minnesota Republican congressman Vin Weber, a former Romney adviser, in an interview Wednesday. “But they will make a mistake if they think that his status allows him to wait for a long period of time. What Bush understands is that the advantage of having so-called front-runner status is that a lot of people will sign up early on.”

Former New Jersey governor Tom Kean, who is familiar with the donors allied with Romney and Bush, said Romney has remained close to New York Jets owner Woody Johnson, a major Republican fundraiser, among other financiers, since the 2012 campaign.

“When I walked into Woody’s box a few weeks ago, Romney was sitting there in a turtleneck,” Kean recalled in an interview. “He was in good spirits and we spoke for a half-hour.”

Craig Robinson, who runs The Iowa Republican, an influential Website covering the first-in-the-nation caucuses, expressed skepticism Friday about Romney's maneuvering.

"Romney needs to answer the question of why does he believe he deserves another shot. He's been the nominee, and failed miserably," Robinson wrote in a Twitter message. "The only reason Romney is "considering another run" is because he sees his influence in the GOP slipping away. Not a good reason to run."

A Bloomberg Politics/St. Anselm New Hampshire poll released in late November suggested that Romney held a healthy advantage over potential 2016 rivals in New Hampshire, with the support of 30 percent of potential presidential primary voters, to Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul's 11 percent, Christie's 9 percent, Bush's 8 percent.

But amid the speculation within Romney’s orbit about his thinking on 2016, Ron Kaufman, another former Romney adviser, said the former Massachusetts governor was not yet actively preparing for a third try, and simply enjoys staying in touch with his former aides and donors.

“He’s been consistent from Day One to make sure Republicans win in 2016,” Kaufman said in an interview Wednesday. “He is going to whatever he can to help and hopes someone out there catches fire. He’ll be out there the whole time helping.”
 
He ain't just thinking about it. Let's hope he picks some new pollsters though. His last group were crap with numbers.

Romney moves to reassemble campaign team for ‘almost certain’ 2016 bid

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/romney-moves-to-reassemble-campaign-apparatus-for-2016/2015/01/12/d968592e-9a88-11e4-96cc-e858eba91ced_story.html

Mitt Romney is moving quickly to reassemble his national political network, calling former aides, donors and other supporters over the weekend and on Monday in a concerted push to signal his seriousness about possibly launching a 2016 presidential campaign.

Romney’s message, as he told one senior Republican, was that he “almost certainly will” make what would be his third bid for the White House. His aggressive outreach came as Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) — Romney’s 2012 vice presidential running mate and the newly installed chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee — announced Monday that he would not seek the presidency in 2016.

Romney’s activity indicates that his declaration of interest Friday to a group of 30 donors in New York was more than the release of a trial balloon. Instead, it was the start of a deliberate effort by the 2012 nominee to carve out space for himself in an emerging 2016 field also likely to include former Florida governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker.

Romney has worked the phones over the past few days, calling an array of key allies to discuss his potential 2016 campaign. Among them was Ryan, whom Romney phoned over the weekend to inform him personally of his plans to probably run. Ryan was encouraging, people with knowledge of the calls said.

Other Republicans with whom Romney spoke recently include Sens. Kelly Ayotte (N.H.) and Rob Portman (Ohio), former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, Hewlett-Packard chief executive Meg Whitman, former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown, former Missouri senator Jim Talent and Rep. Jason Chaffetz (Utah).

The Washington Post’s Scott Wilson reveals details that he and colleague Philip Rucker uncovered about the Romney campaign’s regrets in the 2012 election. (Philip Rucker and Scott Wilson/The Washington Post)
In the conversations, Romney said he is intent on running to the right of Bush, who also is working vigorously to court donors and other party establishment figures for a 2016 bid. Romney has tried to assure conservatives that he shares their views on immigration and tax policy — and that should he enter the race, he will not forsake party orthodoxy.

On New Year’s Eve, Romney welcomed Laura Ingraham, the firebrand conservative and nationally syndicated talk-radio host, to his ski home in Deer Valley, Utah. Romney served a light lunch to Ingraham and her family as they spent more than an hour discussing politics and policy, according to sources familiar with the meeting.

“He was relaxed, reflective and was interested in hearing my thoughts on the American working class,” Ingraham said in an e-mail Monday. “He was fully engaged and up to speed on everything happening on [the] domestic and international front. To me, it didn’t seem like he was content to be just a passive player in American politics.”

Romney’s undertaking to re-engage and pursue anew the GOP’s leading financial and political players began Friday, when he told a private gathering of donors, “I want to be president.” He also told them that his wife, Ann, was “very encouraging” of another campaign.

Romney is considering attending this week’s meeting of the Republican National Committee in San Diego and is working on a new message about economic empowerment, advisers said.

“He’s a lot more focused in these calls on developing a path to victory and talking through a message, rather than talking about money,” said Spencer Zwick, Romney’s 2012 national finance chairman. “Mitt Romney has proven that he can raise the money.”

This comes as Bush — another favorite of the Republican elite — is holding meetings with party leaders and financiers as he explores his campaign. Bush and Romney have overlapping political circles.

Many of Romney’s past supporters may feel torn — not only between him and Bush but also among Christie, Walker, Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and other Republicans who are weighing a run. Some already have publicly aligned with Bush and others.

“They’re competing hard and it’s going to get complicated for Bush,” said former Senate majority leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.). “But Romney still has to prove that he has the ability to reach out to ordinary, hardworking people and emote — smiling with one eye and crying with the other.”

Romney’s outreach extends beyond his cheerleaders to onetime foes as well. He called Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker who relentlessly attacked Romney on the stump and debate stage in 2012 during his presidential run. Gingrich said he told Romney, “There are no front-runners” in the 2016 race. “We have runners, but no front-runners.”

Romney is measuring how much of his 2012 operation would gear up behind him again. He is particularly intent on rebuilding his past political infrastructure in New Hampshire, where he owns a vacation home in Wolfeboro. The state, which holds the first presidential primary, ignited his 2012 campaign when he won it resoundingly in a crowded field.

As of Monday, Romney had secured the backing of his top two New Hampshire-based advisers, Thomas D. Rath and Jim Merrill.

“He called me right after the Patriots beat the Ravens, so we were both in good moods,” Merrill said. “It was a good conversation. He was very clear that he is seriously considering a run. I’ve been with Mitt Romney since March 2006, so if he decides to do it, I’ll be there for him.” Rath, a former New Hampshire state attorney general, concurred in a separate interview: “I’ve been with Mitt Romney for eight years. If he’s in, I’ll make the coffee or drive the car — whatever he needs.”

Romney also has called Brown, who ran unsuccessfully for Senate from New Hampshire in 2014, as well as former governor John Sununu, who was a surrogate for Romney in 2012 but has close ties to the Bush family after serving as chief of staff under then-president George H.W. Bush.

Judd Gregg, a former U.S. senator from New Hampshire who backed Romney in 2008 and 2012, said, “He’s reaching out to people. My sense is he feels strongly he has an opportunity to do what was incomplete last time. He figures there’s a lot of buyer’s remorse now and that his message is a good message and it’ll resonate.”

Romney is also paying attention to Iowa, which holds the first-in-the-nation caucuses, calling his former Iowa strategist, David Kochel. Romney, however, has not connected with Iowa Republican Sens. Charles E. Grassley or Joni Ernst. “I haven’t talked to him in two years,” Grassley said Monday.

One Romney adviser, who requested anonymity to speak candidly, said, “Mitt’s a very restless character. He is not the type to retire happily, to read books on the beach. . . . He believes he has something to offer the country and the only way he can do that is by running for president again.”

Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), the GOP presidential nominee in 2008, was skeptical of a Romney candidacy and endorsed the idea of a “dark horse” run by his longtime friend in the Senate, Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.).

Eric Fehrnstrom, a former Romney spokesman, ticked through issues that he said were motivating Romney to try again. “At home our economy is still not as strong as it could be,” he said. “Long-term growth is in doubt. And around the world there’s really deep concern that America’s leadership has unraveled and hostile forces have filled that vacuum.”

Romney’s national finance network — which raised roughly $1 billion on his behalf for the 2012 campaign — came alive in the hours after he declared his interest in a 2016 bid.

“When the news broke Friday, my phone started blowing up with texts, calls and e-mails from people that had donated to the campaign before and pledging their help,” said Travis Hawkes, a Republican donor in Idaho who served on Romney’s national finance council. “They say, ‘Let me know when you need my credit card number.’ My response to everyone has been, ‘Let’s just slow down and see what happens.’ ”

“I don’t know, man, it’s a free country,” McCain said of a possible Romney campaign in 2016. “I thought there was no education in the second kick of a mule. . . . I respect his judgment, he’s a strong leader.”
 
I'm rather sad Paul Ryan has essentially said no to a 2016 run. Young, articulate and certainly representing a new generation of politicians, rather than a retread (the idea of a Jeb vs Hillary "Family Feud" episode is horrifying to contemplate).
 
I see this ending in one of two ways:

1) Mitt quietly fades back into the smokey back rooms after a long discussion with GOP politicheskoe byuro about why he won't win a general election this time around

2) Mitt goes into the GOP clown show and runs maybe a moderately distant second to a "Fresh" "New" nominee.


Mitt Romney backlash intensifies
Conservatives argue he has too much baggage and the GOP needs a fresh face.

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/mitt-romney-backlash-2016-elections-114275.html?hp=t1_r

A Republican backlash against Mitt Romney that had been simmering for days boiled over on Wednesday as conservatives across the GOP spectrum panned the prospect of another presidential bid by the former Massachusetts governor and two-time loser on the national stage.

Leading the anti-Romney charge was the voice of the GOP establishment wing, the Wall Street Journal editorial page. “The question the former Massachusetts Governor will have to answer,” the newspaper wrote, “is why he would be a better candidate than he was in 2012. … The answer is not obvious.”

The Journal’s owner, News Corp. Chairman Rupert Murdoch, piled on: “He had his chance, he mishandled it, you know? I thought Romney was a terrible candidate.”

And in a Wednesday evening interview with POLITICO, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who’s considering a bid for the Republican presidential nomination, said that the reemergence of Romney could offset the Republicans’ advantage if their Democratic opponent is former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

“I think the best way to counter something from the past is with something new,” Walker said.

On it went from there.

The critical reception marked the latest stage of post-2012 conservative sentiment toward Romney. In the immediate aftermath of his loss, he was the feckless, wooden candidate who blew a prime opportunity to snatch the White House from an unpopular Democratic incumbent. Next came the “maybe he wasn’t so bad, after all” phase, when Romney seemed vindicated by President Barack Obama’s recurring second-term missteps. That lasted through most of 2014.

Now it’s reality-check time. The faded memories of Romney’s 2012 shortcomings are snapping back into focus as he drifts, with apparent seriousness, toward yet another run for the White House. The harshly negative reaction presents an early test of Romney’s resolve, against what’s certain to be a more formidable field than he encountered last time.

An opinion piece titled “The problem with Romney nostalgia,” by the conservative writer Jonah Goldberg, was typical of the backlash.

“The problem is that ‘Romney for president’ is now an art-house film thinking it’s a blockbuster franchise and that there’s a huge market for another sequel,” Goldberg wrote. “There’s not.”

Former Oklahoma governor Frank Keating told The New York Times, “People say he is a very fine man, but he had his chance.”

Even Sarah Palin took a shot.

“We need new energy,” the former vice presidential nominee told “Inside Edition.” “We need new blood. We need new ideas.”

Romney’s allies insist that conservative pundits and GOP voters see the 2016 field differently.

“Mitt happens to lead all the polls, so clearly there is a good deal of affection and loyalty to him among rank-and-file Republicans,” Eric Fehrnstrom, a longtime Romney aide and associate, wrote in an email Wednesday night.

They also point to the other failed presidential candidates eyeing another run: former Sen. Rick Santorum, outgoing Texas Gov. Rick Perry, ex- Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Clinton.

Republican political history is littered with examples of candidates who have run at least once before going on to win the nomination. Veterans of those campaigns say that there are benefits to having run before, including an already-existing donor network, high name recognition and firsthand knowledge of the stresses of a presidential campaign.

Some Romney backers feel that the former candidate has been vindicated on many of the issues on which he ran in his last campaign, including foreign policy. They say he would be better-prepared and “different” this time around.

“Our economy is still not as strong as it could be, long-term growth is in doubt, workers have gone a long time without pay raises and can’t save for a kid’s college or their own retirement, and around the world there’s deep concern that as America’s leadership has unraveled, hostile forces have filled the vacuum,” Fehrnstrom said earlier this week. “Mitt Romney spoke to these issues in the last campaign, he was right on many of them, and I expect if he runs again they will form the core of another campaign for president.”

Sen. Rand Paul, the libertarian-leaning Kentucky Republican, has already sought to exploit the old-vs.-new fault line that Romney’s re-emergence threw into sharp relief.

“I think he could have been a good leader of the country,” Paul said in an interview with POLITICO. “But I think many people are going to say, ‘He’s had his chance.’”
 
A retread and Dubya's younger brother...

Anyone wanna guess whether it'll be a Romney-Jeb Bush ticket or a Jeb Bush-Romney ticket?

NY Times

Wednesday, January 21, 2015 11:15 PM EST

Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush to Meet, Raising Speculation on Presidential Race

Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney are scheduled to meet privately in Utah this week, raising the possibility that the two former governors will find a way to avoid competing presidential campaigns that would split the Republican establishment next year, two prominent party members said Wednesday night.

The meeting was planned before Mr. Romney’s surprise announcement two weeks ago to donors in New York that he was considering a third run at the White House.

Mr. Bush initiated the meeting, according to one of the party members familiar with the planning.

(...SNIPPED)
 
S.M.A. said:
A retread and Dubya's younger brother...

Anyone wanna guess whether it'll be a Romney-Jeb Bush ticket or a Jeb Bush-Romney ticket?

NY Times

I wanna see a Palin - Cruz ticket. Can you say all your right wing dreams come true. No more IRS, No more Taxes, No more newspapers or Magazines, Canada will be annexed, Everyone without a job will now be put to work building more pipelines, No more worries.  ;D
 
Guess he doesn't want to be known as a retread...

Washington Post

Mitt Romney bows out of GOP presidential race over potential for political injury

Mitt Romney’s exploration of a third presidential campaign ended Friday after three tumultuous weeks of deliberations that led him to conclude that, while he might emerge with the Republican nomination again in 2016, he might be so badly wounded in the process that he would have trouble defeating Hillary Rodham Clinton in a general election.

Romney’s sudden decision to declare his interest had been prompted by his concerns over rival Jeb Bush’s aggressive moves to poach from his 2012 coalition, according to intimates. It was fueled further by a mountain of polling data commissioned earlier for one of his donors — suggesting Romney was in the strongest position of any Republican.

(...SNIPPED)
 
Back
Top