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CAN-USA 2025 Tariff Strife (split from various pol threads)


So let’s see what the next tantrum will be.
Supply management, even though they practically never hit the quotas.

If there’s any PM who might kill supply management, it’s Carney. But it’s absurdly politically sensitive so who knows if he will.
 
Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector - a primary money maker - struggles...


Statistics Canada says real GDP down 0.1 per cent in April as manufacturing slowed​


OTTAWA — The Canadian economy edged lower in April as the manufacturing sector posted its largest drop since April 2021 in the face of U.S. tariffs. Statistics Canada said Friday that real gross domestic product edged down 0.1%

The Canadian economy edged lower in April as the manufacturing sector posted its largest drop since April 2021 in the face of U.S. tariffs.

Statistics Canada said Friday that real gross domestic product edged down 0.1 per cent in April and that its advance estimate for May pointed to a similar decline.

TD economist Marc Ercolao said the downside risks to Canada's economic growth are beginning to manifest, especially in tariff-exposed sectors.

"April's underperformance combined with downbeat expectations for May leave second quarter growth tracking a mild contraction, setting up a sharp pullback from Q1 readings," Ercolao wrote in a report.

"Past this, the outlook through the belly of the year faces clear downside risk as the direct impact from tariffs add to the headwinds from plunging business and consumer sentiment."

April marked the first full month of tariffs from the United States in many sectors — particularly targetting Canada's steel, aluminum and automotive industries.

 
Supply management, even though they practically never hit the quotas.

If there’s any PM who might kill supply management, it’s Carney. But it’s absurdly politically sensitive so who knows if he will.
Didn't Parliament just pass a new law that pretty makes it impossible to get rid of supply management?
 
Didn't Parliament just pass a new law that pretty makes it impossible to get rid of supply management?
"Impossible" may be a strong word*, but they did pass a law to keep supply management out of trade talks, after a similar law disappeared with proroguation late last year - here's what passed:
Unanimous "yes"** on third reading in the House, Royal Assent last Thursday (26 June 2025), with mixed reviews, depending on what you're growing/producing.
* - Keep in mind they passed more than one law on the digital services tax, too ;)
** - Notable absence: Poilievre was not in the House for that vote on June 5th.
 
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It’s funny seeing the “elbows up” crowd lighting their hair on fire over this. Hopefully Trump has a tantrum on C-19 and C-63.
 
Mmmm, not ‘nothing’…something, because, you know, he went from leading the polls to failing to even get elected.

It seems your ‘pure speculation based on nothing’ assessment is in fact itself based on nothing.

And how do you suggest PP may have done against Trump without actually seeing how he does?
 
It’s a moot point.

How would Jagmeet Singh have done against Trump?

Nobody can know, but you can speculate ;)

Because POTUS doesn’t act rationally.
While I would have preferred PP as the Cdn PM, I’m not sure he would have had any better results, and frankly probably would have ended up in a screaming match with POTUS.

Doesn't matter. Canadians chose the LPC and the LPC is what they'll get.
 
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