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Liberal Minority Government 2025 - ???

He’s a long long way away from being 65.

Those kinds of guys always land lucrative jobs. It's no small thing what he's accomplished so far. He can make bank until 65 or sooner, then he will retire very, very well off.
 
300k
Once he’s out of politics he will be seriously challenged to pull in half of that if he’s lucky in the real world - especially if he never becomes PM.
As leader of the Opposition, and a long time MP, has has enough connections to useful people to be hired pretty fast.

The animosity between parties on the hill is mostly manufactured image. When off the clock most are pretty friendly to each other, so I suspect he has lots of friends and acquaintances in the LPC, NDP, CPC, and the "movers and shakers" of Ottawa in general.
 
I’m sure if he doesn’t land anything real, the party will keep him employed. He’ll be an MP as long as he can. Leader or no. He’s done nothing else in his life.
 
Moroun started squawking about this over a dozen years ago, he launched lawsuit after lawsuit after lawsuit (some accounts say that its been 27-29) over the new bridge over the last 15yrs. Go and do the research. He has only found a sympathetic ear now.
I know that part. Don't care. The additional bridge is a good idea, and Moroun isn't entitled to a lack of competition.

I am interested in the idea of non-federal levels of government cutting deals with foreign governments. In the specific case, it's just between the US and Canada, and seems unexceptionable. Maybe it's a really good idea, and should work both ways. I can guess that some people who are happy with the bridge and happier that it puts Trump's nose out of joint might feel differently if Canadian provinces were cutting deals with Trump's administration. So also a maybe : maybe lower levels of government should be able to talk about deals across borders, but have no powers to execute them.
 
No idea. Sometimes people don't notice provisions in constitutions or legislation until something brings it to their attention. Until Moroun starting squawking, the matter didn't have a high profile. None of that detracts from how interesting the provision is.
Just to support what @Czech_pivo has said, I've lived in SW Ontario since 2009 and since then have been across that border dozens of times. To say that the Moroun organization is aggressive in the protection of their monopoly by way of litigation is an understatement. There were numerous issues before the Gordie Howe bridge was approved. Rick Snyder, the Republican governor of Michigan, finally threw a lot of effort behind getting the deal done against some heavy duty lobbying from the Moroun organization and his political backers. Those were tremendously contentious years.

All this long before Trump's presidency was just a wet dream.

The last few years have actually been pretty quiet until this last whirlwind assault.

🍻
 
I miss the Harper days where the largest corruption scandal they can find is a senator buying a 16$ glass of orange juice, instead of billions in corruption and no one batting a eye.

Other than Harper lying and breaking his Alliance-PC merger bargain with MacKay, but it didn’t have overt money in Harper’s pocket so some people excuse him for it.

Ford pushed some shady stuff especially with the greenbelt construction stuff, but as @Furniture noted, he reads the room when ‘folks’ don’t like something and he adjusts course. I’ll take Ford all day long over Wynne, McGuinty and Rae.
 
This sums things up nicely onPolitical parties and those that follow party dogma blindly without the ability to think and question independently.

That's not politics, that's herd dynamics. People are still mammals. For every successful 'independent thinker' there are probably dozens of Groks that got stomped to death by mammoths, died painfully trying a new mushroom, or whatever other millions of ways we've managed to kill ourselves.

Mob psychology is fascinating though, but that's exactly why they teach people to take charge at a first aid scene; as soon as you do that other people will stop to help vice just walk by, or all the other many crowd efforts throughout history. Less 'blindly following' than being bolstered by others to do something as part of a group, but being afraid to take the first step.
 
That's not politics, that's herd dynamics. People are still mammals. For every successful 'independent thinker' there are probably dozens of Groks that got stomped to death by mammoths, died painfully trying a new mushroom, or whatever other millions of ways we've managed to kill ourselves.

Mob psychology is fascinating though, but that's exactly why they teach people to take charge at a first aid scene; as soon as you do that other people will stop to help vice just walk by, or all the other many crowd efforts throughout history. Less 'blindly following' than being bolstered by others to do something as part of a group, but being afraid to take the first step.
'Mob psychology' is exactly what got Trudeau the Younger elected the first time -
 
The Liberals are soaring.



Liaison also showing the trend upward.

 
Liaison also showing the trend upward.

Nanos shows similar, if the CPC drop below 30% that would be a disaster for the party

 
When was the last time they were polling that low?

The party is already courting disaster. The leader is in a weak position with party discipline seemingly a mess.

Psychologically that poll number could trigger a leadership crisis with caucus either pushing for change or more floor crossing or departures.

The LPC a minority could rule as a majority knowing the CPC won’t defeat them on a confidence motion with polls that low. Oh they can play silly buggers at comitee like they have but The LPC could also go seek a new mandate with an election which would be problematic for the CPC.

The one caveat is that this is just one poll. It would have to be across the board.
 
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