I will throw in my 2 cents (and take the trashing that comes with it)
On by elections, the only surprise is that the Bloc didn't compete more with the LPC for Chicoutimi. Political pundits said the reason Martel held that riding (even as a CPC) is he was extremely popular and well respected locally, even if he had been a green party, he would have gotten elected. The new MP, very tactical decision (politically from Carney) to put a Dairy board member (and former President) up, and earn the dairy farm votes.
Beaches was no surprise (it is extremely left) however be warned, the NDP numbers increased considerably, some saying the left youth vote is going to the NDP.
BC riding was one I was surprised the LPC cleaned up as well as they did.
I have offered up my opinion that Carney scuttled the trade deal last minute to gain political points, you can call me delusional or whatever you want. I have also heard rumours that Doug Ford was refusing to cooperate with Carney and said he would NEVER put American Booze back on the shelf. This is no help. I would say to Dougie "what is better? 25% possibly reducing to 15% tariffs in time or 50% tariffs?" Its rather obvious. There is NO getting a trade deal without losing a chunk off our asses.
And now Dougie is complaining about Carneys mass imports of Chinese EVs? Pick a F-ing lane, Doug.
But damn, better hurl that PP right overboard, right guys? Lost 3 by elections so again lets sick the sharks on him? OK, go for it.
Put in your red tory and you give the Liberals an easier victory (boys get f-ing real, the CPC of today is NOT at all Reform revitalized, not even an inch, being pro oil and gas does not qualify)
Now someone said it best here. If we are going to ride a few years with this current government, then switching out Pierre now (which the Liberals seem eager to do) will allow the LPC, the paid for media and paid for polling companies a chance to define the next person. I still look at the "Harper will never be PM..." shit I heard all the way up until he was PM. I may very well be way wrong. Time will tell.
One political commentator said it well "The Liberals are great at politics, very poor at governing"
I will say this, the LPC (Not Trump, he is the same belligerent President he was 18 months ago) sure got the Nation (especially the Liberal over 65 crowd) really worked up over the trade deal.