2025 Federal Election - 28 Apr 25

[Halifax Tar]

One of the final polls puts a slim lead in liberal hands nationally,

https://twitter.com/x/status/1916104631488241767

AB secretion doesn't even have 30% support to start a referendum, and I squarely blame the premiere for pushing such rhetoric as a distraction from her own scandals.

Freudian slip ?

Not a good look.

Liberal candidate apologizes for comments 'out of context' allegedly about abandoning elderly, preventing motherhood​

It's almost like having a PhD and being considered an expert in a field doesn't automatically translate to benevolence and good intentions.

I don't disagree with her in the elderly comment. We need to make wise choices with our resources.

My conspiratorial mind sees him as a LPC plant.

I can't think of any other reason he helped them cling to power long enough for Trump to swing things toward the LPC.

I have quietly wondered this same thing. I mean the two parties as basically the same now.

 

[The Bread Guy]

My conspiratorial mind sees him as a LPC plant.

I can't think of any other reason he helped them cling to power long enough for Trump to swing things toward the LPC.

Maybe to try to get what he wanted?

 

[Halifax Tar]

Nothing wrong with suggesting electoral stuff in an elections thread

Absolutely. That's more meant that we've discussed, at length, here in other threads lol

 

[lenaitch]

As a physician she'd be an MD (possibly a PhD as well, but that's much less common). (Then again, I do know a doctor of nursing...)

As do I, as well as a Doctor-Doctor (MD+PhD) and a Doctor-Lawyer (but not an LLD) - it can be confusing. Her profile says she is an MD with a prior background in Speech-Language Pathology which, as far as I know is a graduate-level degree. Regardless, some of her comments are a little odd even for Haliburton.

 

[ModlrMike]

She's a Green in red clothing. Enough said.

 

[Lumber]

Update to my prediction abouy a CPC minority. An additional factor; NDP and BQ "strategic voters" who were planing to vote LPC simply to prevent a CPC victory will see the lieberal lead, see how the NDP is at risk of losing official party status, and think "I don't need to vote strategically anymore, the Libs have this in the bag, I and I'm worried about my actual Party!" (and some similar for BQ supporters). It won't be a lot, but enough to tip a few key races in favor of the CPC. Combined with what I said before, the CPC squeaks out a minority.

The issue is vote efficiency- I think the CPC would need more than 4-5pts to overcome their inefficiency. Vote ‘overkill’ in rural/suburban areas won’t help as much as some may think…

I was thinking more about areas in the Atlantic provinces, or suburban areas around cities like Hamilton where half the riding is rural and half the rising is small towns/cities like Ancaster or Dundas. There's a lot of "liberal" voters in these suburban towns because they are commuters to big cities, but the core of these smaller towns/ cities are conservetive. If the conservative base is as motivated as it seems to be, then I think their turnout will outnumber the liberal turnout, even if the riding population overall is more liberal. There's aren't too many ridings like this in Canada, but i think there's just enough to surprise the pollsters tomorrow and give a slim pluarility of seats to the Cons.

 

[Remius]

James Moore: The good news about Campaign 2025

There are positive developments about this election that should comfort all Canadians about the state of our country as exposed by the campaign, writes former cabinet minister James Moore in a column for CTVNews.ca.

www.ctvnews.ca

Some optimism for the doom and gloom crowd.

 

[The Bread Guy]

James Moore: The good news about Campaign 2025

There are positive developments about this election that should comfort all Canadians about the state of our country as exposed by the campaign, writes former cabinet minister James Moore in a column for CTVNews.ca.

www.ctvnews.ca

Some optimism for the doom and gloom crowd.

Good stuff - thanks for sharing.

Hope he's not standing next to any higher-floor open windows with Jenni Byrne in the house after typing this out loud:

... we have two fine choices for prime minister. Partisanship and hyperbolic war room rhetoric aside, we have two choices for prime minister in Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney that we should be thankful for. You don’t have to hate one to vote for the other ... neither of these men have ill intent for the country. Neither of these men are hateful, ignorant or cruel. They are both patriotic Canadians ...

So far (as of this post, anyway), nothing on JB's x.com feed.

 

[dapaterson]

Update to my prediction abouy a CPC minority. An additional factor; NDP and BQ "strategic voters" who were planing to vote LPC simply to prevent a CPC victory will see the lieberal lead, see how the NDP is at risk of losing official party status, and think "I don't need to vote strategically anymore, the Libs have this in the bag, I and I'm worried about my actual Party!" (and some similar for BQ supporters). It won't be a lot, but enough to tip a few key races in favor of the CPC. Combined with what I said before, the CPC squeaks out a minority.




I was thinking more about areas in the Atlantic provinces, or suburban areas around cities like Hamilton where half the riding is rural and half the rising is small towns/cities like Ancaster or Dundas. There's a lot of "liberal" voters in these suburban towns because they are commuters to big cities, but the core of these smaller towns/ cities are conservetive. If the conservative base is as motivated as it seems to be, then I think their turnout will outnumber the liberal turnout, even if the riding population overall is more liberal. There's aren't too many ridings like this in Canada, but i think there's just enough to surprise the pollsters tomorrow and give a slim pluarility of seats to the Cons.

This is a live action re-creation of the SNL sketch from 2016 when Dave Chapelle and Chris Rock were at a party to celebrate Hillary Clinton's election - the folks were making constant claims about how the next stage of the election results were going to pivot and make her elected, while Dave and Chris made snide comments in the background.

 

[brihard]

James Moore: The good news about Campaign 2025

There are positive developments about this election that should comfort all Canadians about the state of our country as exposed by the campaign, writes former cabinet minister James Moore in a column for CTVNews.ca.

www.ctvnews.ca

Some optimism for the doom and gloom crowd.

That was a great read, thank you. The part about how we take for granted the fantastic effectiveness of Elections Canada is a great point. While there’s always a bit of idiocy to be found online, generally trust in our elections administration is deservedly high. Most of us never even need to think about it. Our elections administration workers do a great job.

 

[Colin Parkinson]

That was a great read, thank you. The part about how we take for granted the fantastic effectiveness of Elections Canada is a great point. While there’s always a bit of idiocy to be found online, generally trust in our elections administration is deservedly high. Most of us never even need to think about it. Our elections administration workers do a great job.

Having helped them when they rented our building and also as a party observer. I fully agree with you, they are all committed to a fair process for the benefit of Canadians.

 

[Quirky]

In a bizarre twist, Quirky will vote for her.

Donation sent!

 

[Halifax Tar]

Update to my prediction abouy a CPC minority. An additional factor; NDP and BQ "strategic voters" who were planing to vote LPC simply to prevent a CPC victory will see the lieberal lead, see how the NDP is at risk of losing official party status, and think "I don't need to vote strategically anymore, the Libs have this in the bag, I and I'm worried about my actual Party!" (and some similar for BQ supporters). It won't be a lot, but enough to tip a few key races in favor of the CPC. Combined with what I said before, the CPC squeaks out a minority.




I was thinking more about areas in the Atlantic provinces, or suburban areas around cities like Hamilton where half the riding is rural and half the rising is small towns/cities like Ancaster or Dundas. There's a lot of "liberal" voters in these suburban towns because they are commuters to big cities, but the core of these smaller towns/ cities are conservetive. If the conservative base is as motivated as it seems to be, then I think their turnout will outnumber the liberal turnout, even if the riding population overall is more liberal. There's aren't too many ridings like this in Canada, but i think there's just enough to surprise the pollsters tomorrow and give a slim pluarility of seats to the Cons.

Put on your tin foil.

The CPC wins a tiny minority of seats but the LPC and Carney offer the GG a LPC and NDP coalition, this forming a majority coalition Gov.

 

[Lumber]

Put on your tin foil.

The CPC wins a tiny minority of seats but the LPC and Carney offer the GG a LPC and NDP coalition, this forming a majority coalition Gov.

Perhaps if the CPC fails an early confidence vote, I could see that maybe happening as opposed to sending the country into another quick election, but off the gate I can't see the GG going for that, it's too against convention.

 

[Halifax Tar]

Perhaps if the CPC fails an early confidence vote, I could see that maybe happening as opposed to sending the country into another quick election, but off the gate I can't see the GG going for that, it's too against convention

Like I said, tin foil

 

[brihard]

Put on your tin foil.

The CPC wins a tiny minority of seats but the LPC and Carney offer the GG a LPC and NDP coalition, this forming a majority coalition Gov.

While technically the Westminster system allows for the party currently in power to have an opportunity to demonstrate confidence following an election even if they fail to achieve an independent plurality, in practice Canadian parties who lose an election to an incoming minority have always given them the opportunity to govern first. Doesn’t mean they couldn’t torpedo them at the first throne speech or budget, and then take a stab at it.

That said I don’t think it’s particularly likely that the CPC will be forming a minority government on Tuesday.

 

[suffolkowner]

Perhaps if the CPC fails an early confidence vote, I could see that maybe happening as opposed to sending the country into another quick election, but off the gate I can't see the GG going for that, it's too against convention.

While technically the Westminster system allows for the party currently in power to have an opportunity to demonstrate confidence following an election even if they fail to achieve an independent plurality, in practice Canadian parties who lose an election to an incoming minority have always given them the opportunity to govern first. Doesn’t mean they couldn’t torpedo them at the first throne speech or budget, and then take a stab at it.

That said I don’t think it’s particularly likely that the CPC will be forming a minority government on Tuesday.

i dont see the GG opposing the PM. She will let him fail in the HoC or not.

 

[FJAG]

The CBC finally doing a decent piece of investigative journalism. In this case the "Brantford Boomer."

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/brantford-boomer-meme-context-1.7518905

 

[brihard]

The CBC finally doing a decent piece of investigative journalism. In this case the "Brantford Boomer."

Scream at me that I’m a pedophile, and I might flip you the bird too.

 

[PPCLI Guy]

The 338 site seems to be down...