If Prentice wins majority, Alberta’s future will echo his contradictions
JUSTIN GIOVANNETTI
The Globe and Mail
Last updated Saturday, Apr. 11 201
Jim Prentice is sitting on a bus rattling along a lonely stretch of road dotted in potholes.
His campaign is travelling along Highway 40 in northwestern Alberta, headed from his hometown of Grande Cache, toward Edmonton. The road serves as an apt metaphor for the challenge the rookie premier faces politically and what he wants to fix in Alberta. Only 24 hours earlier he called a general election.
For nearly a decade, Alberta politics have been adrift. Mr. Prentice says he was disappointed by the premiers in office. There were scandals, indecision and poor planning. It just wasn’t the Alberta way, he told The Globe and Mail in an exclusive sit-down interview.
“Albertans were disappointed and I was disappointed as well, that’s why I came back to public life. I was upset,” Mr. Prentice said while sitting at the back of the blue campaign bus. “I felt that our province has not lived up to its promise.”
That talk wouldn’t be uncommon from a frustrated opposition leader, but Mr. Prentice’s Progressive Conservatives have held power for 44 of the 110 years Alberta has been a province. In office as Premier for only six months, Mr. Prentice is seeking the party’s 13th consecutive majority.
He must now perform a delicate dance and persuade Albertans the Tory party they’ve elected repeatedly has transformed enough under his watch to represent change, but hasn’t changed enough to be a risk once returned to office.
This is how politics are done in Alberta. From the conservative Ralph Klein to the more progressive Alison Redford, the party has shifted over the past half-century. With each turn toward the left or the right, the Tory brand is tied to the personality of its leader.
The former senior federal MP and finance executive will tell Albertans he’s the most experienced and reasonable leader running in years. This comes at a time of deep deficits, tax increases in a province that has resisted hikes for decades and some whispers suggesting the party has lost its iron hold on the political loyalty of Albertans.
Mr. Prentice was a prominent and trusted minister in the government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper from 2006 to 2010, holding portfolios in industry, Indian Affairs and the environment. There continue to be rumours that he may harbour higher ambitions than the Premier’s office.
In his first days on the campaign trail, Mr. Prentice betrays no hint he’s worrying about being the leader responsible for ending Canada’s longest-serving provincial government. “I’d like to think I’m tough,” he says. At 58, he’s invigorated by the gruelling schedule of the campaign and has been looking forward to it.
After a rocky stint as Premier during a time where oil prices crashed and the opposition was defanged through floor crossings partially orchestrated by Mr. Prentice, he is finally away from the Dome – the sometimes derisive name for the legislature in Edmonton.
The contradictions that co-exist within Mr. Prentice are plainly visible. He’s the coal miner’s son who worked the pits himself but now wears a tailored shirt. He was a senior executive in Canada’s financial industry, but he’s comfortable in small towns without a bank branch. On the first night of his campaign, he drinks a pint of honey brown, bucking his reputation as too slick and polished.
If he wins a majority on May 5, as is widely expected, Alberta’s future will echo those contradictions. Mr. Prentice’s 10-year vision for the province is to spend less, save more and slowly push the provincial economy away from its reliance on raw energy exports.
If he can follow through with his plan, he’ll leave a mark on his province that can’t be erased. He wants to be a builder. He’ll fill potholes – perhaps the ones on Highway 40, as well – and push out new roads, expand schools, refurbish hospitals.
But first there’s the far larger problem of tackling an economy flirting with recession and a budget far from balance due to an oil price that dropped from $92.86 (U.S.) a barrel on the day Mr. Prentice was sworn in to around $50 today.
“Did I expect oil prices to collapse? Absolutely not,” Mr. Prentice said. “When I was campaigning last summer [for the leadership], the understanding I had was that Alberta would record a multibillion-dollar surplus and the province wouldn’t need to borrow for its infrastructure bill. That was going to be the situation going forward.”
Alberta will now run $8-billion worth of deficits over the next two years, before the province is projected to return to balance in 2017-18. To get there, government spending will only grow slowly over the next three years as the province’s population continues to boom.
“Alberta has been the powerhouse of the national economy and our national prosperity has been driven more by the energy sector than many would appreciate,” he said. “We need to focus on the next three years, which will be challenging. But we will be getting back to being number one.”
Mr. Prentice has promised not to touch the nearly $18-billion earmarked for new capital projects over the next three years. He has labelled the opposition Wildrose Party “extremist” for considering delays or cuts to new projects. While investing in the province, he also wants to double the size of the province’s savings fund to $30-billion within a decade.
“Our energy revenue should be set aside for our children and put in the heritage fund. That fund should be used to do things that’ll accelerate our competitiveness, diversify our economy and make our universities and colleges stronger,” he said.
While Mr. Prentice’s campaign is asking Albertans to look toward the future, the Premier’s playbook comes from the opening chapter of the Tory story. Peter Lougheed, Alberta’s first PC premier, is often referenced by Mr. Prentice as a leader who invested wisely and built widely.
Mr. Lougheed ruled over Alberta as Mr. Prentice came of age in Grande Cache and is an inspiration for the Premier, according to Jean-Sébastien Rioux.
Mr. Rioux was Mr. Prentice’s longest-serving chief of staff while he was the federal Industry and Indian Affairs minister. During Mr. Prentice’s leadership campaign, Mr. Rioux spent several days as his policy chief hashing out his boss’s vision for the province.
“He had a very positive agenda to build, but he’s had to switch from offence to defence,” said Mr. Rioux. “The next 18 months are going to be hard and it’ll be easier after that. He’ll be able to switch to being a builder in the second half of his term.”
If he wins, Mr. Prentice will shift more of his attention to files that languished as he dealt with budgetary woes. Chief among them will be working with the other provinces to get stalled energy infrastructure going. Pipelines to Canada’s Atlantic and Pacific coasts have met political and environmental snags.
Due to the election, Mr. Prentice won’t be attending a climate-change conference in Quebec City this spring. The province’s policy in this area, expected last December, now looks delayed until the summer.
He’ll also spend more time on diversifying the economy. While Mr. Prentice’s first budget, unveiled in late March, promised to help unshackle the province’s revenues from the energy sector, he’s expected to push for more investment in the forestry and food sector to create jobs isolated from the booms-and-busts of oil.
In a picture from 1986, a glum 29-year-old Jim Prentice has his hand pulling his hair as election results poured in. In his first brush with politics, Mr. Prentice lost a provincial race in Calgary-Mountain View to NDP challenger Bob Hawkesworth by 257 votes.
“I learned the importance of hard work and getting out. It was a very difficult election because oil prices and the economy really went south quickly,” he says now, running in an election with similar circumstances.
Mr. Prentice practised law for the next 18 years, only re-entering the political arena in 2004 when he was elected as MP for Calgary Centre-North. He soon struck a path as a Red Tory, voting in favour of same-sex marriage.
Soon after the Conservative Party won the 2006 election, Mr. Prentice was recognized as an ambitious and hard-working minister. Keeping tabs on caucus colleagues through the Conservative hockey team, he was seen as the deputy prime minister in all but name.
He was also one of the few ministers in Ottawa to delve into the bureaucracy, speaking with mid-level managers about problems facing government. Mr. Rioux takes pride in remembering his time working with Mr. Prentice and their reputation for running a professional ministry.
“You’re never going to find anyone who ever worked with him who isn’t to this day completely and absolutely loyal and devoted,” said Mr. Rioux. “He’s smart, but he isn’t pretentious, he isn’t a snob.”
It’s a style Mr. Prentice brought with him to Edmonton when he snagged Mike Percy as his interim chief of staff. The former dean of the University of Alberta’s School of Business, Mr. Percy was packing for a move to Victoria when the then Premier-elect asked him to serve.
Mr. Percy had never met Mr. Prentice before, but says he was convinced in a 30-minute meeting to stay in Alberta. The Premier asked him to run a professional office that didn’t leak to the press and saw a clear line of separation between the civil service and partisan work.
“The credential that he looks for is not that you bleed blue, “Mr. Percy said, referring to the traditional Tory colour. “But that you can run a professional organization and get people pointed in the right direction.”
On the way back from a coal mine, Mr. Prentice’s campaign bus stopped quickly in Grande Cache to pick up another round of coffee for the PC Leader and his staff before the long drive to Red Deer – Mr. Prentice drinks two cups in the morning.
As the bus began to leave the town of 4,300 there was a tap on the door. Ned and Diane Fournier had found an old photo of Mr. Prentice’s late father from the 1940s wearing his Toronto Maple Leafs jersey. Eric Prentice played five games for the Leafs.
The Fourniers were family friends of Mr. Prentice from his time growing up in the town.
“It’s my old man,” he said as he placed the photo on a table in the bus. “Dad was never high on politicians so I promised him I’d get in-and-out of politics quickly with his name intact. He’s on the campaign now.”