dapaterson said:
The Army Reserve structure, defended to the death by the Army Reserve's senior personnel (note I am not using the word leaders) will be the death of the Army Reserve.
...
The biggest threat to the continued existence of the Army Reserve is the Army Reserve... refusing to ever make difficult choices, and believing its own Potemkin facades to be reality.
Mind you, the Reg F is also spiraling the same drain. With only 37 M777, we could field at maximum a single regiment of artillery (four firing batteries of six guns) which, in a peer or near-peer environment, would be rendered combat ineffective within 24 hours. (Assuming we retain a reference model, and two batteries for training). Smiling and putting up a brave face about our critical shortfalls across the Army is not a Reg / Res either /or.
I'll take that on in two respects - one important; one petty.
I tend to believe much of what is written in "Relentless Struggle" insofar as that the Regular Force, because it holds the power and for numerous other reasons, is the reserves' biggest enemy. Where I do agree with you is that the army reserves' leadership (including the retired ones in Reserve 2000) despite the good things that they've done are also the biggest obstacle particularly in how they insist on expanding the reserves and not allowing consolidation into fewer, bigger units. Firstly, I'm not sure we can generate 40,000 reservists; secondly, using the current reserve force model, it would still be an ineffective organization (I'm of the view that we need a paradigm shift to lift the reserves out of the rut they are in); thirdly, consolidation into fewer, fully manned units organized into fewer and more effective brigades, each with clearly defined roles and resources is such a logical step that any resistance to it makes little sense (but that all depends on the plan and so far the regular force hasn't generated any good ones to back up consolidation-consolidation by itself will not solve the problem without many other concurrent changes). I expect Reserve 2000's position is that even when consolidated, the regular force will still deny the reserves the appropriate funding, role, equipment etc and therefore they would just be one step closer to withering away.
On the petty side, most nations have artillery battalions of three six-gun batteries (and also some general support stuff to back that up) so 37 guns should provide us with two equipped regiments (which still leaves us one short, not to mention general support) But that's just math. And don't get me started on our tank situation and whether or not the LAV6.0 is a fighting vehicle that can operate with tanks (or just a battlefield taxi).
More in line with the topic of this thread:
dapaterson said:
About 1 in 3 members of the A Res are Infantry; in the Reg F, that's 1 in 4.
The Reg F ratio of Inf to Veh Techs is about 3:1; in the A Res it's closer to 16 to 1.
So, want Res F mechanics to maintain the Res F veh fleet? (A) it's not done that way in peer militaries, where they rely mostly on contracted support, and (B) we still need to scrap a large chunk of the existing Res F Infantry structure (designed to feed warm bodies into WWI / WWII attritional warfare) and replace it with more support functions.
I agree with you here in general because I believe we still require some combat oriented reservists in fully manned and equipped formations to provide more lethality for our forces in general. Our much vaunted three regular brigades are so ill equipped and manned, so rife with critical capability deficiencies, that we have very little staying power in a peer-to-peer conflict (and I use the term loosely because we are well below peer level with our most likely opponent) On a rough estimate my view is that we need two fully staffed reserve (or mixed) manoeuvre brigade groups to augment the other three.
More importantly we need more support capability. I've run some numbers and establishments on that and come up with three support brigades: one artillery, one manoeuvre enhancement and one sustainment using the current/achievable strength of the army reserve. I add quite a lot of Class A and B maintainers in that equation. If I saw any possibility of expanding the size of the army reserve it would clearly be by adding more support brigades as I think our overall need will be there. I think the ratio of support brigades to manoeuvre should be roughly 2.5 to 1. The only reason that I see that we can get by with three support brigades is that I think we will never be able to deploy more than 1.5 or maybe 2 manoeuvre brigade groups at any given time in any event. Regardless. We need a lot more usable maintainers, truckers and sup techs to name a few.
:stirpot: