foresterab
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My take on the Griffon is it is the heliborne version of the MilCOTS vs SMP truck debate.
The Griffon will continue to serve well enough domestically where "440+" perforations are unlikely (unless hail or 7.62mm ball point). The fleet can be upgraded/replaced over time in Squadron size sets. With Hook additions. And I do see a place for the Valor. Just like I see a place for Challengers in the jet transport fleet. Sometimes you need to move a small crew fast.
But as GR66 points out it is a lot of capability to be used just humping a dozen infantry around Southern Alberta, or Nunavut.
On the other hand maybe it is just the thing when dodging bullets in Afghanistan. But 440 mph Mosquitoes were being brought down with machine guns and 20mm cannons and F100s were downed by Golden BBs.
Like FJAG I see no reason to chuck perfectly useable kit just because something better comes along. I would still keep the Griffon as domestic utility bird even as the fleet was upgraded to the marinized UH-1Y, AH-1Z pair. Aircraft that can operate over salt water as well as dust, snow and fresh water. Aircraft that can operate from an AOPS, a CSC or an AOR or a Multi-Role Support Ship. And that can self-deploy. Not intercontinentally but certainly over long distances.
With respect to the helicopter vs LAV debate. Domestically I see a lot more utility in helicopters than in LAVs. With 250 or so small battalions of a village, or large company every 100 km or so (30 to 40,000 km2) with no roads or rail connecting them, floods and fires, fuel and food shortages, lost souls, medical emergencies, I see lots of opportunities for utility helicopters to make themselves useful when not carting Anti-Tank teams around some distant theatre.
Equally I see lots of places for helicopters to add to logistical support overseas in peace and war. And heliborne troops making a difference in all types of combat. Especially when operating with national combat air support.
It's an interesting take on the air mobile assets as this is something that I often mentally toss around as an opportunity Canada could take that would be of major interests to our international partners and domestic ops.....
In the RCAF we have 85 Griffons and 15 Chinooks. And that is augmentable with SARs 4 Twin Otters and 15 CH-149s as well as 17 J-series Hercs and 5 CC-177s to enhance tactical air movement domestically. And internationally.
Edit: Actually with all the hard strips around Canada the troops could fly in relative luxury in the CC-150s and join up with flown-in kit.
I will stipulate the Griffon is not a Blackhawk. Even the Venom and Viper are not Blackhawks. But they would improve the capabilities of the force over time. And maybe you aren't allowed to buy Zulus because they look wrong but you could, perhaps, buy Yankees and use them as better gunship escorts. And if you get a friendly government maybe they will let you buy some proper gunships.
Support vehicles that can be delivered by Griffons and Chinooks, designed to accompany and support foot-borne troops over broken, soft and wet terrain should also be acquired for local, short-range manoeuver on the ground. Long range movement (50 km or more) would be by air.
In the meantime work can be done with the kit available.
Now if only the infantry were properly equipped with the right suite of man portable support weapons they could carry with them in the helicopters that were available.
In the meantime, with the LAVs/Leos and ACSVs that are on hand or in production - FJAG could get a full Swedish model Combined Arms Brigade of 3 Pansar Units and a Cavalry Unit, preposition one battle group set in Poland, keep another set in the warehouse in Canada, and still have vehicles left over for training regs and reserves at home. Vehicles enough, that, if required a light battalion could be re-roled to supply LAV companies.
And then we can start concentrating on the Arty.
85 Griffon Bell 412 helicopters can be augmented by the fairly significant civilian medium fleet that is currently mostly used for domestic operations (i.e. wildfire) and/or tourism (heliskiing). These are primarily Bell model 204/204/212 and while some go back to early Vietnam the older airframes have slowly been getting retired as "newer" frames become available. The nice thing is that there are some common parts and more importantly similar capacities at least amongst the civilian frames that could be a big surge capacity. Unfortunately there is a big utilization delta between RCAF machines and civilian models in that almost all civilian pilots are limited to full visibility flight operations only - hence the ask for Griffons to assist on wildfires to operate under zero vis conditions in intelligence roles due to their advanced training and instruments. For context the 2016 Horse River fire in Fort MacMurray, AB had 170 helicopters (all types) on wildfire mostly of Medium (Bell 212) or intermediate (A-star 350's) types.
There are a much smaller number of heavy lift helicopters out there but they do exist, primiarily in BC due to heli-logging, that also could be surged. The issue with these is that they require much more robust operating sites due to fuel needs/weight vs. a medium that can operate via drum fuel in the middle of the woods. They also tend to be a much wider range of models - Russian and American - which has significant issues on pilot training and parts. The Chinook is a great airframe in this niche and again should be maintained, if not expanded, by the RCAF.
Lights and intermediates are much more varied. 20 years ago the Bell 206/Kiowa was the standard frame but they have largely been replaced the A-star 350 frame (and many sub-models) as a larger, faster, more comfortable machine of similar costs. Great for moving technically 5 adults but you're not hauling gear and it's a tight fit to fit that many on board. 4 lighter troops and webbing plus limited support gear is an option but you're either hauling gear or people. Go down to a tiny Robson R-22 and it's 2 people and a coffee mug only....so the question is under what roles would such a fleet be of use beyond domestics and/or limited UN missions. These are not airframes that the RCAF should be focused upon beyond initial training machines. .
In regards to fixed wing operations I know air tankers/water bombers but wonder how much freight can be transported in say, Northern Ontario or Quebec via the small armada of float planes used for local transport/fishing guides/communities. That being said it's small individual packages and a CC-130 would be a far superior option if sufficient frames occurred.
Looking forward...if we can not afford to support say a Heavy Tank Brigade then we should be looking at other key needs of our international obligations. Transport, especially heavy transport, in both helicopter and fixed wing is constantly coming up in both NATO/UN/Domestic asks and is one skill set I think Canada should be looking at more. This means expanding at minimum the C-130 fleet and possibly longer term looking at additional heavy lifters like the A-400 other NATO partners are using in the absence of the C-17 line.
Tradeoffs for consideration - cost of new purchase of airframes vs. eventual replacement cost of the Leopards? Manpower needs for a battalion of armor vs. squadron of transports? Training costs? Deployment rate and impact upon the greater Canadian Armed Forces? Is this acceptable to our partners? It's a purely political decision but also aligns the current political funding support of the Armed Forces maybe better with the mission profile that support would received for?
Sorry for the ramble over morning coffee but made me think about it more again,
foresterab