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Islamic Terrorism in the West ( Mega thread)

He was sentenced to 12 but I’m not sure what his pre trial custody would be. Unless he gets early parole he’ll serve 2/3 of whatever’s left before statutory release.
I just got off work and my brain is foggy, so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong...

But isn't federal custody 1/3 of the sentence is to be served in custody, with possible eligiblity for parole after the 1/3 has been served?

And those sentenced to 2 years less a day (provincial institution) serve 2/3 in custody?



(You know a lot more about this than I do)
 
I just got off work and my brain is foggy, so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong...

But isn't federal custody 1/3 of the sentence is to be served in custody, with possible eligiblity for parole after the 1/3 has been served?

And those sentenced to 2 years less a day (provincial institution) serve 2/3 in custody?



(You know a lot more about this than I do)
IiRC I think it’s possible after 1/3 in federal custody you can get day parole.
2/3 served is statutory release. But I could be mistaken.

Provincial custody you generally serve 2/3
 
I just got off work and my brain is foggy, so PLEASE correct me if I'm wrong...

But isn't federal custody 1/3 of the sentence is to be served in custody, with possible eligiblity for parole after the 1/3 has been served?

And those sentenced to 2 years less a day (provincial institution) serve 2/3 in custody?



(You know a lot more about this than I do)

OS has it right- possible parole eligibility at 1/3, statutory release (mandatory parole) at 2/3. For terrorism offences I wouldn’t be super concerned about the odds of early parole.

Provincially it’ll depend on the province. I’ve heard 2/3 is the norm, I just can’t sit here and confidently speak for every province.
 
Maybe Canada needs its own Gitmo and laws that allow terrorists to be held incommunicado indefinitely. 🙃
 
Interesting way of getting caught: "A Texas man was indicted this week for allegedly threatening an ISIS-inspired attack against a Christian music concert. The FBI says eighteen-year-old James Wesley Burger made the threats while playing the popular online multiplayer game Roblox, leading investigators to uncover more ominous online activity about his desire to commit an ISIS-inspired terror attack ..."
More here ...
... and in attached criminal complaint document.
 

Attachments

Busted!
 
I made a post on here a few months back, and was quickly rebuked by quite a few folks on here who said there was absolutely no intelligence to support my claims.

(Which surprised me, as well known world events had been happening for quite some time that I would have thought would get us all on the same page...)




The days are counting down until we have something bigger, harder hitting, and longer lasting happen here in North America via a terrorist attack. Of this I am absolutely certain.

Or we'll see several smaller, but very newsworthy attacks...

Personally I think we will see both & they will be coordinated.
 
Next question:

How much time will he get? And will he be deported?

Ok two questions
He’s a citizen. Deportation isn’t an option.

Not sure how much time he’d get… Sentencing on this one will probably be tricky; reading between the lines I’d go out on a limb and guess his mental state is a reasonably significant factor.

Generally speaking, threats unaccompanied by actual action or planning will bring a lower sentence that realized violence or mature plots. With that said, for crown to be pulling the trigger on an 83.27 notice that they intend to seek terrorism sentencing, that suggests to me that they believe they can prove the ideological/political/religious motive, which further suggests they feel strongly about their ability to prove intent. 83.27 isn’t a given; crown will have to make an application arguing that this falls under terrorism, defence will be able to challenge that, and the judge will decide. There’s not a lot of case law on 83.27 so this will build a bit more that will help police and crowns understand where they can apply in marginal cases.
 
It appears they may be bringing the band back together (again? still?) ....
Also archived here https://archive.is/ruCrX -- summary of attached study:
This paper analyzes the relationship between the Taliban and violent jihadi extremist (VJE) organizations present and/or operating in Afghanistan. Jihadi relations are examined within the analytical frameworks of cooperation, and competition. By conducting an in-depth analysis of the Taliban’s interactions with other violent extremist groups – such as Al-Qaeda, Islamic State-Khorasan Province, and Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan – we highlight the nuanced dynamics of old ties forged through years of jihad and their continuation under the Taliban’s regime. We argue that the Taliban’s relationships with these VJEs are shaped by a shared experience of jihad and sustained primarily through ideological, tactical, and strategic cooperation. However, the Taliban’s rise to power and subsequent focus on consolidating control have altered these relationships. While old ties remain resilient – due to personal connections and organizational-level cooperation – new relationships are characterized by economic links, reciprocity, and the Taliban’s efforts to maintain a delicate balance of power as the de facto government. Challenging the Taliban within the network has led to violent conflicts despite ideological commonalities with other VJEs.
 

Attachments

It appears they may be bringing the band back together (again? still?) ....
Also archived here https://archive.is/ruCrX -- summary of attached study:

Oh lovely. Hopefully they don’t go out of their way to make it our problem this time…
 
Oh lovely. Hopefully they don’t go out of their way to make it our problem this time…
They've gone out of their way to make it our problem this time mate...

As much as we in the west have shifted our collective ADHD focus to major power conflict - citing Russia vs Ukraine and a potential China vs Taiwan as our reasons for doing so - our enemies haven't taken their eyes off of us.

Hamza Bin Laden (the son of UBL) was a key player in the Benghazi attacks, and is living a fairly comfortable life in Kabul - with the full knowledge and protection of the Taliban.


ISIS & the Taliban used to fight each other and not get along. Now, they actively work together. (Plus a bunch of other terrorist organizations that have all become quite cozy with each other since the west pulled out of Afghanistan.)

---

Guess who issues legit Afghan passports, legally recognized in most countries? One of the Haqqani brothers (I shit you not...)

Yet neither Canada or the US have flagged Afghan passports for mandatory additional screening. (Not that it would do any good since the person picking up the phone in the issuing country is a member of the Taliban...)

Rumour has it that the Taliban government has issued thousands of passports to it's fighters for the explicit purpose of gaining entry to the west. (These are legitimate, government issued passports that knowingly state potentially false names & DOB information)


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I said a while ago that we, the collective west, are in for some major terror attacks - and I was dismissed pretty quickly...

And to be fair, I probably did sound alarmist.

But I'll say it again - the chances of some major terrorist attacks happening throughout Europe and North America are so f**king high I'm tempted to say it's almost a guarantee.

(And I'm not talking about the kind of terrorist attacks we've seen in the past either)


I say this based on the relationships that have developed between the various groups + the actions those groups have taken in recent years (say the last 15 years or so) + the HUGE opportunity they've had to get their people established here in the west.

I also say this because of the southern US border situation under Biden + the still massive amount of people the GoC is trying to import each year, plus the open borders along Europe's eastern reaches.


---


Just because we've taken our eye off the ball for the last decade & forgotten about our enemies doesn't mean our enemies have taken their eyes off of us...

They are absolutely wanting to make this our problem, in some pretty big ways.



My 2 cents anyway...
 
FWIW... some interesting observations if you scroll down the page

Key findings from the Global Terrorism Index 2025 report​

  • • The Sahel region remains terrorism’s epicentre, accounting for over half of all global terrorism deaths
  • Islamic State (IS) expands its operations to 22 countries and remains the deadliest organisation, causing 1,805 deaths, with 71% of its activity being in Syria and DRC
  • • Tehrik-e-Taliban (TTP) emerged as fastest-growing terrorist group, with 90% increase in attributed deaths
  • • Deaths in sub-Saharan Africa (excluding the Sahel) are now at their lowest since 2016, dropping by 10%
  • • Terrorist attacks jumped by 63% in the West, Europe was most affected where attacks doubled to 67
  • • In 2024, several Western countries reported one in five terror suspects as under 18, with teenagers accounting for most IS-linked arrests in Europe
  • Seven Western countries are in the first 50 most impacted countries on the Global Terrorism Index
  • Antisemitic and Islamophobic hate surged globally, with the US seeing a 200% rise in antisemitic incidents in 2024
  • Attacks are more deadly as the number of terrorist incidents fell by 22% to 3,350, and number of countries reporting an incident fell to 50.
 
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