- Reaction score
- 35
- Points
- 560
More election fever dreams in the air:
http://bctory.blogspot.com/2007/12/left-turn-ahead.html
http://bctory.blogspot.com/2007/12/left-turn-ahead.html
Left Turn Ahead?
Really, how could this be the least bit surprising to me?
Stéphane Dion signalled yesterday that he will take a left-leaning platform of social programs into the next election, as he vowed to run a campaign that will create a "collision" between Liberal and Conservative visions of Canada.
.....
Liberals familiar with the planning said the party intends to campaign to the left in the hope of winning voters who supported the NDP in the past election. Mr. Dion said the Liberal platform will include measures to aid students in paying postsecondary tuition, combat poverty and support seniors.
"Never forget our seniors. We have an aging population. In our next election campaign, we will offer more support for our seniors - that will be very important," Mr. Dion said in a closing speech that promised a platform that would create a stark contrast between Liberals and Conservatives.
In addition to returning to the green focus on fighting climate change that helped win him the Liberal leadership one year ago, Mr. Dion spent much of his closing speech touting his "30-50" plan to reduce poverty by 30 per cent and child poverty by 50 per cent over five years.
"The fight against poverty will be at the heart of a Liberal agenda," he told party officials.
Liberals said the lean to the left was not an accident. Montreal MP Denis Coderre, for example, said the party was preparing for an "ideological battle" with the Conservatives.
Insiders said social-program offerings, such as financial support for seniors and, most likely, a national "catastrophic" pharmacare program, will be at the centre of a Liberal campaign platform. Mr. Harper has a secure constituency from the centre to the right, and the Liberals must broaden their support in the centre and left, one Liberal strategist said.
I've contended for quite some time now that the Liberals were (or, at a bare minimum, were acting like they were) moving the farthest to the left they have been since the Trudeau era. Indeed, it appears that "Blue Grit" business liberalism will be taking a back seat to the agenda of the left wing of the party. Some things to consider, though:
1) The things they propose are more or less the exact same things that the NDP have called for in the past. A lot of what it said here pretty much smacks of being stolen from the Jack Layton playbook.
With that in mind, how will progressives interpret this matter? After all, this sounds eerily like an "NDP-lite" campaign, and what is to convince people to vote Liberal, when the NDP has been offering the same platform for years? While it may be the desire to remove the Conservatives from power, I think many left-leaning voters would rather vote for something than vote against it. Moreover, consider the Liberal track record in the past of campaigning to the left, yet governing to the right. Or, perhaps, the 2004 campaign centered around Paul Martin decrying income tax cuts, yet running on tax cuts galore in the 2006 election. The general point I am making here is that progressive-minded Canadians are very much aware that the Liberals have talked the talk before, but, given past instances, do they really expect it to be different this time? What reason would they have to abandon the NDP when they actually can trust them to consistently support such left-leaning policies.
In short, I think the inconsistency of the Liberals while in government while certainly hurt them in this regard.
2) In most of Canada, the Liberals are fighting a battle on two planes: the battle with the NDP for the centre-left, and a battle with the Conservatives for the centre. While, on the surface, it would appear that marginalizing the NDP would return much of their electoral success to the Liberals, providing them with a chance to form government. But, the fact that it comes at the expense of centrists is telling. This can only enable the Tories to implement a strategy of "triangulation"- in effect, the ability of Harper to present his policies as moderate in the face of the 'left-wing, NDP-lite" policies Dion is pushing. This therefore gives him greater levity among the moderate voters that decide every election. So, while Dion fights Layton for the left, Harper is able to point at both of them and present himself as a centrist alternative by focusing on the centre-right policies he epouses that are popular with the average centrist voter (e.g. tax cuts, mandatory minimum sentences, etc.).
In effect, this lefty Liberal strategy would give Harper a chance to dominate the centre which has long been the decider of elections, and reap even greater electoral benefit as a result.
Call me crazy, but I have a feeling this electoral strategy does have a fair amount of holes in it.