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Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

People arent missing the point. They dont like the point and they are disagreeing with it.

Everything is fine Rick. We're getting better every day ;)
Nah, not everything's fine, lots of things need improving, but the point in question was just poorly presented using inappropriate data. Straight GDP per capital has the issues I pointed out and more. It can't be used to honestly and reliably compare the standards of living of normal people; it treats it as if all economic activity is getting roughly equally distributed toactual people to fund their standards of living. We know lots isn't. It didn't even correct for purchasing power parity, never mind income inequality... It was just a bad measure for the claim made. The HDI data posted is closer to the mark, but to really compare' 'standards of living', it would take some work to figure out what economic and social variables add up to define that. Straight GDP per capita, while an attractive measure to the Fraser Institute, ain't it.

Interestingly enough the Feds have taken a few initial steps that would help achieve this; Fast track major projects, and eliminate internal trade barriers, for example. However, saying it and doing it are different... none of those have actually happened yet... but maybe when they do we'll see something. This of course assumes there are no long drawn out legal pushbacks.

The Fed could do more, such as aggressive business tax breaks (including cutting that industrial carbon tax) to drive investment.

I'd suggest the 'mega deduction' to immediately expense capital costs the year new equipment/infrastructure investments become available for use is a really good example of such a policy, should it come to pass. I suspect we'll see that as part of the budget bill, probably in the first half of November. That one would help in that it would be a 'right away' benefit to businesses, and would let them free up more capital for major investments in equipment, property etc. It doesn't depend on some major project being developed and eventually approved, just whatever new machinery XYZ corporation is right away ready to buy.
 
Which is the first consistently 'Red state' in terms of Presidential and Senate/Congress on this list? Is it Minnesota, flips back and forth? Pretty certain that the bottom 10 are consistently labelled as 'Red' states.
Food and resource extraction aren't high on the value chain, but they are the foundation of the (now inverted) economic pyramid.

Rising tides do lift all boats. Eventually everyone in a country shares in its total productivity and prosperity.

So many people who have some degree of concern about implications of the gap between rich and poor individuals in a nation cannot usefully interpret the implications of the gap between rich and poor countries, especially over time.
 
Per capita GDP is a very useful measure - not for making claims about individual standards of living, but for understanding the potential and power of a nation relative to its population.
 
Nah, not everything's fine, lots of things need improving, but the point in question was just poorly presented using inappropriate data. Straight GDP per capital has the issues I pointed out and more. It can't be used to honestly and reliably compare the standards of living of normal people; it treats it as if all economic activity is getting roughly equally distributed toactual people to fund their standards of living. We know lots isn't. It didn't even correct for purchasing power parity, never mind income inequality... It was just a bad measure for the claim made. The HDI data posted is closer to the mark, but to really compare' 'standards of living', it would take some work to figure out what economic and social variables add up to define that. Straight GDP per capita, while an attractive measure to the Fraser Institute, ain't it.



I'd suggest the 'mega deduction' to immediately expense capital costs the year new equipment/infrastructure investments become available for use is a really good example of such a policy, should it come to pass. I suspect we'll see that as part of the budget bill, probably in the first half of November. That one would help in that it would be a 'right away' benefit to businesses, and would let them free up more capital for major investments in equipment, property etc. It doesn't depend on some major project being developed and eventually approved, just whatever new machinery XYZ corporation is right away ready to buy.

Tick, tick, tick, tick.....


Americans’ debt problems are flashing a warning not seen since the Great Recession​


For the three-year period ended 2025, the portion of families behind on loan payments soared from about 12% in the prior survey to nearly 20%, according to a Fed survey released Friday.

Higher earners saw their net worth soar during the period, with those in the top income group reporting an increase of 31%.

A widening of the gulf between the 'haves' and the 'have nots'. Sadly I'm fairly confident that this widening more than likely occurred here in Canada as well. The gulf between the countries may not be as wide or as deep but does it really matter? If a gulf exists and your not able to bridge it the size of the gulf is secondary.


The ability of U.S. families to stay current on their debts worsened over the past three years, hitting levels not seen since the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the Federal Reserve reported Friday.
According to the new findings, the portion of families behind on loan payments at the end of 2025 soared from about 12% in the prior survey to nearly 20%, a gain of some 67%. Those behind by two months or more also accelerated considerably, moving to more than 8% from 5% in 2022.

Friday’s Fed report showed the share of debt to income also posted a large gain. Families with payment-to-income ratios of greater than 40% jumped to 8.6%, up from 6.5% in 2022 and the highest level since 2013.

At the same time, the net worth of higher earners soared, with those in the top income group seeing their median net worth rise 31%.

Amid that climate, the Fed found that real median, or midpoint, family income increased 7% but average income dropped 6%.

“Families in the lower ends of the income and net worth distributions saw modest increases in median and mean income, while families in the upper ends saw declines,” the report stated. “These patterns indicate that income inequality decreased slightly between surveys.”

“The exceptions to the general pattern of a rise in median income were for Black non-Hispanic families, Asian families, and families toward the top of the usual income and net worth distributions,” the report stated. “For these families, both median and mean income fell.”

Overall, net worth generally increased.

Inflation-adjusted average net worth rose 7% to $1.24 million, though median net worth climbed just 2% to $215,900, reflecting gains among those at the higher end. The report noted that net worth was “much slower” than the prior report that covered the 2019-22 period.

Lower-income families “saw some declines” in wealth while those with higher incomes saw gains. Families in the bottom one-fourth of income median net worth declined 6% while average net worth fell 4%.
 
Rising tides do lift all boats. Eventually everyone in a country shares in its total productivity and prosperity.
I guess you believe in Fairy Dust and a Pot-o-Gold at the end of the rainbow? Trickle down economics is a fantasy created to support the wealthy.
 
I guess you believe in Fairy Dust and a Pot-o-Gold at the end of the rainbow? Trickle down economics is a fantasy created to support the wealthy.
I'm not writing about trickle down economics. I'm writing about the long-term evolution of national economies over decades. More economically powerful nations are advancing the living conditions of their residents faster than less powerful ones. In the vein of what I've written before, there was a time - within the lifetimes of people still alive - when it didn't matter much on which side of the US-Mexico border a person lived. Now it matters a great deal. It should be obvious that a similar gap can gradually emerge across the Canada-US border, particularly if Canadians devote so much effort to convincing themselves that our talent for dividing a pie is more important than their talent for growing it.
 
Oof... And the youth continue to get gut punched...

Some, but clearly not all, can be attributed to kids heading back to school full time. But with that being said, not a good showing. Alberta though knocked the cover off the ball again. Signs that the oil patch is starting to get its mojo back? Would be a great thing for the entire country if this is true.
 
Some, but clearly not all, can be attributed to kids heading back to school full time. But with that being said, not a good showing. Alberta though knocked the cover off the ball again. Signs that the oil patch is starting to get its mojo back? Would be a great thing for the entire country if this is true.
It does help when proportionately very little of the provincial output is tariffed compared to others. Best for AB to capitalize on the situation and not waste time crowing to others about how good they have it.
 
Some, but clearly not all, can be attributed to kids heading back to school full time. But with that being said, not a good showing. Alberta though knocked the cover off the ball again. Signs that the oil patch is starting to get its mojo back? Would be a great thing for the entire country if this is true.
Unsurprising that Alberta would add jobs; current oil prices and the shift in political winds all point to an improving future in the oil patch, and there have been some months now for higher oil prices to pass through into other economic sectors.
 
Readers may find this Statistics Canada report of interest,

Youth unemployment always higher


The unemployment rate for workers aged 15 to 24 rose further during the 1970s as the relatively large cohorts of baby boomers entered the labour market.
 
Readers may find this Statistics Canada report of interest,



More on that from RBC:

Job losses concentrated among young Canadians in September​


Canada’s labour market lost 68,000 jobs in September, driven by losses in public sectors (education and health care), piling onto the 42,000-job loss in the prior month. These losses reversed most of the job growth seen over the summer and leave the year-to-date employment count at -41,000.

The monthly employment counts are notoriously volatile, and there are reasons not to read too much into the softer reading too quickly. In September, 70%, or 48,000, of the decline in employment was among those aged 15 to 24, a group that typically sees seasonal headwinds around this time of year after the school year starts. The unemployment rate, as a more stable and reliable gauge of labour market conditions, ticked up slightly from 6.4% to 6.5% but remained 0.6 percentage points below a year ago.

Looking ahead, we continue to point to important leading indicators such as job openings from Indeed.com as indications that hiring demand has not retreated to a problematic extent since new U.S. tariffs (that cover a small scope of Canadian exports) were imposed. We expect progress made in Canada’s labour market earlier will be largely sustained, and the unemployment rate to broadly edge lower through the end of 2026.

 
Oof... And the youth continue to get gut punched...

I don't know if this qualifies as "youth employment", but an example from my family:

My cousin and his best friend were both employed by a chain retailer as stockers. His sister was employed by same retailer as a cashier. The two boys have been employed in there full time since they graduated 2 years ago. She had been a part-time cashier throughout her high school years, then permanent part-time since she graduated last year. Both still live at home because you can't rent and apartment and afford to eat in this province (NB) with minimum wage jobs (even with full-time minimum wage jobs).

Mid-July of this year all three of them received lay-off notices due to the downturn in the economy. The boys were shift-workers in their stocking role with the store having 4 shifts of 8 pers per shift. All 4 shifts went down to 6 pers. I have no idea how many of the cashiers like my cousin received pink slips. Three weeks after their employment ended "due to the downturn in the economy" ... the shifts were back up to 8 persons per shift - the 'new' employees being 2 TFWs per shift. WTAF?

If a couple employees from the same place start filing for pogey due to being laid-off, how TF is the same business getting away with bringing in TFWs a mere 3 weeks later? Is the government not noticing this crap or do they just not care?

Leaves me with a few questions:

1) Can the government not track this BS?
2) How can a business get away with having TFWs when there are people who are willing to work (at min wage) who are qualified to do the work and who were doing the work?
3) I don't think an application to hire TFWs can be done in a mere 3 week turn-around, so this tells me the business planned it out. ASmoke and mirrors.

The town in question has high unemployment and many looking for work, few getting it, but an abundance of TFWs in every place you enter.

My local Tims is a 5 minute drive away and I hit it 4 times a day. All summer the "Now Hiring" was posted and I watched the locals (adults and teens) and seasonal cottage kids dropping off their resumes at the counter ... and all summer and to this day, nothing but TFWs in there.

It's frustrating as hell. It's sucking the life out of this country. It and a whole lot else is sucking the life out of us. My rose coloured glasses have disappeared.
 
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