Liberal (Minority/Majority) Government 2025 - ???

[Czech_pivo]

The concern is national polls show the CPC is underwater in Quebec.

Terrebonne sees CPC vote go from 18 percent to 3 percent.

Small sample size, but for any CPC MPs from that province who have been uneasy must have alarm bells going off now.

I wonder if PP moving his riding from the Ottawa area out to Alberta has any impact on these numbers.

 

[Czech_pivo]

he also wanted it cancelled for the rest of the year which would of cost federal coffers over $18 billion, Im not sure on the math of just doing it until September. Good for consumers, a win for the opposition, who will then use the increased deficit this causes to hammer the gov in the next economic update. Carney is going to need some serious economic growth going into and through the summer to whether the storm.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2044064314663858475

LOL

 

[Altair]

I wonder if PP moving his riding from the Ottawa area out to Alberta has any impact on these numbers.

I wouldn't imagine. Quebec is culturally insular so what happens in Ontario doesn't really factor in for the majority of Quebec.

And for all intents and purposes, it's like PP never left Ottawa. He's still in Stornoway, he never left.

Quebec is all in on the Liberal brand right now. Even the Quebec Liberal party is looking like it might win the provincial election, after being exiled to the political wilderness that is Montreal for the past 8 years.

But the LPC rising doesn't explain the CPC collapsing. Different phenomenons

 

[Lumber]

Given it looks lie Carney will remain PM and the Liberals remain in power until 2029, so you think that will change the calculus of the CPC as to whether they want a leadership change?

 

[PPCLI Guy]

Win for the opposition

Must everything be viewed through a falsely zero-sum lens?

I don't care if it is good or bad for the opposition. I don't' care if it is good politics. I only care if this is good policy.

On that, my feeling are mixed, as the offset will of course have to be borrowed, but that will balanced against the stimulus (or cauterisation) of the economy. Having said that, the average voter will be unlikely to see the nuance, and only see the reduction on prices at the pump, so I guess it is good politics.

On the whole, I see this as a positive temporary policy step that will be politically popular.